137  
FNUS72 KCHS 230659  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMNF 148...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
259 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH ONCE THE  
BOUNDARY LAYER INVERSION BREAKS DOWN THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS  
SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION, AS  
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON, RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD FALL TO AROUND 45 PERCENT. A BAND OF  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT  
ACROSS THE FRANCIS MARION NATIONAL FOREST AFTER 5 PM, REMAINING INTO  
EARLY THIS EVENING. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM  
THE NORTH, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH REDEVELOPING LATE THIS  
EVENING. GIVEN THE GUSTY NORTH WINDS, THERE IS NO RISK OF FOG ACROSS  
THE BURN SITE TONIGHT. DRY HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER  
THE REGION ON TUESDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH SHOULD  
ADVECT DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S ACROSS THE BURN SITE ON TUESDAY. AS A  
RESULT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE  
MID-30S TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 18 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............93.  
INVERSION END.......0800  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 2 8 7 7 10 18 38 37  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20  
TEMP............67 72 76 80 83 84 85 85 83  
RH..............73 66 58 52 47 48 46 46 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 9 10 10 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 18 19 20 18 18 17 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.6 4.7 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 18 18 18 16 16 16  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............25 42 59 68 75 82 93 88 63  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST  
5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....1900  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........65 84 70 42 38 46  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 73 67 62 57 54  
RH..............53 68 61 50 49 54  
20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 3 N 5 N 6 NE 8 NE 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 14 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 600 1100 700 900 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NW 6 N 12 NE 10 NE 10 NE 14  
LVORI...........2 3 3 2 2 2  
ADI.............1 2 9 5 5 12  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 22 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............67.  
INVERSION END.......0400  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........64 60 73 59 53 46 47 49 50 53 57 60  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 50 49 50 52 55 57 59 59 60 60 59  
RH..............61 58 58 61 56 47 42 38 37 37 41 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 22 23 22 22 22 20 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.4 1.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 22 22 22 18 18 18 16 16 16  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............35 38 48 67 67 64 64 62 61 56 55 53  
 
 
FORECASTER...DIXON  
REQUESTED BY...SAM SULSER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607138.0/CHS  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WETZELWILSON@USDA.GOV,SAMUEL.SULSER@USDA.GOV  
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