440
FXUS62 KCHS 090615
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
215 AM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
THE GALE WARNING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS HAS BEEN CANCELED AND
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY.
- 2) THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA BEACHES
TODAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE TODAY,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. RH VALUES WILL
LIKELY BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 30S FAR INLAND, WITH MID 40S
ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR, AND HIGHER AT THE BEACHES. THE BREEZY
NE WINDS OBSERVED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL WANE, WITH
AFTERNOON GUSTS ONLY AROUND 15 MPH EXPECTED. THEREFORE, A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGE 2: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA
BEACHES TODAY.
STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL BEACHES TODAY. LOOKING TO FRIDAY,
WINDS AND SEAS START TO SETTLE. HOWEVER, MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GIVEN 4-5 FOOT SWELLS ALONG THE
SOUTH CAROLINA BEACHES, AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
GEORGIA BEACHES GIVEN SWELLS OF 5-6 FEET.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE 06Z TAF PERIOD AT
KCHS/KJZI/KSAV. NE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT,
GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 15 KNOTS. GUSTS
TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON, WANING WITH
NIGHTFALL TONIGHT.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
TODAY: WHILE THE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS REMAIN STRONG, THEY HAVE BEEN
SLOWLY TRENDING DOWN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, WHICH HAS ALLOWED FOR
THE GALE WARNINGS TO TRANSITION OVER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. THE
WINDS WILL REMAIN SUSTAINED IN THE MID 20S WITH GUSTS INTO THE LOWER
30S THROUGHOUT THE DAY, WITH THE GRADIENT STARTING TO RELAX THURSDAY
NIGHT, RESULTING IN DIMINISHING WINDS THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BECOME MORE DIRECTLY
CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW
MARINE CONDITIONS TO STEADILY IMPROVE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LOOK
TO LINGER INTO FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE NEARSHORE ZONES, WITH THE
OFFSHORE GEORGIA ZONE HOLDING ON UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SEAS
SETTLE. WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO A MORE TYPICAL PATTERN FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH ONSHORE FLOW TOPPING OUT
AROUND 10-15 KNOTS.
HIGH SURF: WITH NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS STARTING
TO RELAX, WAVE HEIGHTS ARE STARTING TO TREND DOWN ALONG THE COAST.
MODEL GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST 4 TO 6 FOOT BREAKER WAVES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE INTO AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS, BUT WILL WAIT TO SEE
SOME MORNING OBSERVATIONS BEFORE CONSIDERING TO CANCEL THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY EARLY.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GAZ117-119-139-
141.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ117-119-
139-141.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SCZ048>051.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ048>051.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ350-354.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ352.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ374.
APT/CPM
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