706
FXUS62 KCHS 091815
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
215 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEK.
- 2) THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA BEACHES
TODAY AND THE GEORGIA BEACHES ON FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES LATE THIS
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK.
QUIET AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD AND THEN EVENTUALLY SHIFTS OFFSHORE.
ALOFT, A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE (NAEFS INDICATING 500MB HEIGHTS
EXCEEDING 99TH PERCENTILE) WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
UNFORTUNATELY, THIS PATTERN MEANS NO RELIEF TO THE SEVERE AND
EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AS THE 7-DAY RAINFALL FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO
BE 0. OTHERWISE, WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. BY THE
WEEKEND AND FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK, HIGHS SHOULD PEAK A SOLID 5-10
DEGREES ABOVE EARLY/MID APRIL NORMALS WITH SOME 90S BACK IN THE
FORECAST TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL AREA
BEACHES TODAY AND THE GEORGIA BEACHES ON FRIDAY.
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL BEACHES TODAY. LOOKING TO FRIDAY,
WINDS AND SEAS START TO SETTLE. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS WILL STILL
SUPPORT A HIGH RISK AT GEORGIA BEACHES, WITH A MODERATE RISK ALONG
THE SOUTH CAROLINA BEACHES.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KCHS, KJZI, AND KSAV THROUGH 18Z
FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON, TURNING A BIT MORE EASTERLY WITH TIME. GUSTS WILL SUBSIDE
AROUND OR JUST AFTER SUNSET.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT: MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT,
HOWEVER WINDS AND SEAS WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ACROSS
ALL WATERS OUTSIDE OF THE CHARLESTON HARBOR. WINDS 20-30 KT TODAY
WILL SETTLE INTO THE 15-20 KT RANGE OVERNIGHT. SIMILARLY, SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE, ENDING AROUND 5-8 FT BY SUNRISE FRIDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO RELAX
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE SCHEDULED TO COME DOWN FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE OUTER GEORGIA WATERS WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO
SATURDAY DUE TO LINGERING 6 FT SEAS. NO ADDITIONAL MARINE
CONCERNS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ALLOWING EASTERLY WINDS TO
EVENTUALLY VEER MORE TO THE SOUTH. SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 15 KT OR
LESS WITH SEAS 2-5 FEET.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GAZ117-119-
139-141.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
SCZ048>051.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ350-352.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ354.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ374.
ETM
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