014
FXUS62 KCHS 031114
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
714 AM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD TODAY
AND REMAIN THE PRIMARY FEATURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THIS DRY PERIOD WILL START WITH A NOTABLY COOLER
DAY TODAY. THE MORNING WILL BRING LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S
ACROSS INLAND AREAS, FOLLOWED BY HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW
80S. CONDITIONS WILL FEEL QUITE COMFORTABLE WITH DEWPOINTS
FALLING WELL INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S THIS AFTERNOON TOO.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND THURSDAY WITH HIGHS BACK INTO
THE MID 80S, WITH UPPER 80S INCREASING IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE FORECAST IS MOSTLY DRY AS DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ISN'T REALLY EXPECTED TO RETURN UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 AND DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWS TO MID 40S WILL COMBINE TO YIELD RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
INTO THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. A FEW AREAS
WILL EVEN SEE VALUES AT OR JUST BELOW 25 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND BREEZY, WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND
20 MPH AS WELL. HOWEVER, THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
THANKS TO THE RECENT ACTIVE PATTERN AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL IN MOST LOCATIONS. THURSDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER DAY WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN INTO THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE,
THOUGH WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND LESS GUSTY. THEREAFTER, HUMIDITY
WILL STEADILY CLIMB EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT KCHS, KJZI, AND KSAV
THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY AGAIN
TODAY, STARTING IN THE MID MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY: NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 KNOTS
AND FREQUENT GUSTS INTO THE 25-30 KNOT RANGE. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS OUTSIDE CHARLESTON
HARBOR. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE THIS EVENING AS THE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND WINDS AND SEAS BEGIN TO DIMINISH. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES STEP DOWN AT VARIOUS TIMES, BUT WE SHOULD BE
FREE OF ALL HEADLINES BY THURSDAY EVENING. THEREAFTER, WINDS
WILL TAKE ON A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE PATTERN WITH MODEST SURGING
EXPECTED ALONG THE LAND/SEA INTERFACE WITH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION.
RIP CURRENTS: THE COMBINATION OF CONTINUED STRONG NORTHEAST
WINDS AND ELEVATED SWELL ENERGY WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT ALL BEACHES TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH
THURSDAY, BUT WILL STILL REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TO YIELD A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ALL BEACHES.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GAZ217-219-239-
241.
SC...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SCZ148>151.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR AMZ360-362.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR AMZ364.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR AMZ384.
BSH
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