835
FXUS62 KCHS 040623
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
223 AM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AREN'T EXPECTED TO
RETURN TO THE AREA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA. AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AREN'T
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ALOFT, RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY AND HOLD IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THE
SURFACE, DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
THEN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TODAY
WILL BRING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND
CONDITIONS WILL FEEL QUITE PLEASANT AS DEWPOINTS MIX OUT INTO
THE 40S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM
EACH DAY, WITH UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.
DRY AND WARM PROFILES WILL KEEP THE FORECAST THUNDERSTORM-FREE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT AS WE MOVE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND A FRONT COULD APPROACH FROM THE NORTH,
POTENTIALLY BRINGING A MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL CYCLE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT KCHS, KJZI, AND KSAV
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY. LOOK FOR NORTH OR NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE
MORNING FOLLOWED BY A SHIFT TO SOUTHEASTERLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. THE SEA BREEZE COULD EVEN PRODUCE
SOME MODEST WIND GUSTS INTO THE 15-20 KNOT RANGE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
TODAY: MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS
NEAR 20 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-DAY, AND THEN VEERING MORE OUT
OF THE EAST IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
FT IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS, AND THEN 4 TO 6 FT IN THE OFFSHORE
WATERS, BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN THE EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THE OFFSHORE GEORGIA WATERS
THROUGH THIS EVENING CONSIDERING THE ELEVATED SEAS. EXPECT
EASTERLY WINDS TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 KT OVERNIGHT.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ON THE
QUITE SIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH THE MODEST SURGE OF WINDS
ALONG THE COASTLINE AS THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE TRACKS INLAND.
RIP CURRENTS: A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS HAS BEEN
MAINTAINED AT ALL OF OUR BEACHES FOR TODAY. AND THEN, A LOW RISK
IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ384.
BSH/DENNIS
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