215
FXUS62 KCHS 041111
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
711 AM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AREN'T EXPECTED TO
RETURN TO THE AREA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA. AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AREN'T
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ALOFT, RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY AND HOLD IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THE
SURFACE, DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
THEN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TODAY
WILL BRING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND
CONDITIONS WILL FEEL QUITE PLEASANT AS DEWPOINTS MIX OUT INTO
THE 40S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM
EACH DAY, WITH UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.
DRY AND WARM PROFILES WILL KEEP THE FORECAST THUNDERSTORM-FREE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT AS WE MOVE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND A FRONT COULD APPROACH FROM THE NORTH,
POTENTIALLY BRINGING A MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL CYCLE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT KCHS, KJZI, AND KSAV
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY. LOOK FOR NORTH OR NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE
MORNING FOLLOWED BY A SHIFT TO SOUTHEASTERLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. THE SEA BREEZE COULD EVEN PRODUCE
SOME MODEST WIND GUSTS INTO THE 15-20 KNOT RANGE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
TODAY: MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS
NEAR 20 KT POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-DAY, AND THEN VEERING MORE OUT
OF THE EAST IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL START THE DAY IN
THE 2-4 FT RANGE ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS AND 4-6 FT ACROSS
THE OUTER WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE OUTER GA WATERS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT, WINDS
WILL DROP OFF TO BE 5-10 KT WITH SEAS 2-4 FT.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ON THE
QUITE SIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH THE MODEST SURGE OF WINDS
ALONG THE COASTLINE AS THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE TRACKS INLAND.
RIP CURRENTS: A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS HAS BEEN
MAINTAINED AT ALL OF OUR BEACHES FOR TODAY. AND THEN, A LOW RISK
IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ384.
BSH/DENNIS
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