661
FXUS62 KCHS 052252
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
652 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RAIN
CHANCES INCREASING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RIDGING ALOFT WILL REMAIN THE DRIVING FEATURE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
SITUATED DIRECTLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON THEN
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE TYPICAL OF EARLY SUMMER WITH UPPER
80S/LOWER 90S WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MID 90S BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GRADUALLY WARM EACH NIGHT, WITH
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S INLAND WITH LOWER/MID 70S AT BEACHES AND
DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE RIDGE AND THE AREA OF BROAD SUBSIDENCE
LESSENS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RESULT IN A MORE TYPICAL,
DIURNALLY DRIVEN PATTERN OF SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. A
WEAK COLD FRONT COULD APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY, BUT MODEL
TRENDS SUGGEST THE FRONT MAY DISSIPATE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
0Z TAFS: VFR. A SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID-DAY,
RESULTING IN A SOUTH WIND AROUND 10 KTS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: THERE ARE NO CONCERNS.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT: AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE INFLUENCES IN THE
CHARLESTON HARBOR AND ALONG THE LAND/SEA INTERFACE WILL WEAKEN
THIS EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT AND SEAS
2-3 FT.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE OVER THE MARINE WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT APPROACHING ON TUESDAY. A SOUTHERLY WIND REGIME WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH TYPICAL SEA BREEZE SURGES LIKELY
EACH AFTERNOON.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
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