321
FXUS64 KCRP 061812
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
112 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
- DRIER PERIOD FROM SUNDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH MODERATE
HEATRISK BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN
SEEING MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
THE CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND FILL,
TRANSITIONING INTO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT
PLAINS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE AREA, KEEPING
MOISTURE HIGH THROUGH THE PROFILE THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. CAM
GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE DOING FAIRLY WELL THIS MORNING, SO FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT IN SHOWERS AND THE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM OVER THE
COASTAL BEND AND GULF WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE ARE GOING
TO BE MUCH LIKE THE PREVIOUS DAYS, WHERE WE SEE QUICK POP-UP SHOWERS
THAT MAY HAVE HEAVY RAINFALL. OVER THE REST OF THE AREA, RAIN
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY, LIMITING
OUR RAIN CHANCES TO GENERALLY SEABREEZE CONVECTION.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK, NEARING 100 DEGREES
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WIDESPREAD HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL REACH 105-110, WHICH COULD LEAD TO A MODERATE
(LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS REACHING A MAJOR
(LEVEL 3 OF 4) HEAT RISK.
WITH RESPECT TO THE BEACH HAZARDS, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE PERSISTENT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND AND INCREASED LONG PERIOD SWELL INCREASE TODAY.
THERE IS STILL LOW-CONFIDENCE ON MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH
TIDE CYCLES. IF THE WATER LEVEL REACH THE VICINITY OF THE DUNES, IT
WILL LIKELY BE SHORT IN DURATION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
FOR ANY ADVISORY ISSUANCES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA
CROSSROADS THROUGH 00Z, WHICH COULD LEAD TO MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
05Z AND 08Z, THEN CONTINUE INTO MID-MORNING. ALI AND VCT MAY EVEN
GET SOME IFR/LIFR VISIBILITY IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
A GENTLE SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE TODAY WILL INCREASE TO MORE MODERATE
TO FRESH (BF 4-5) STARTING TONIGHT. SEAS NEAR 3 FT TODAY WILL
INCREASE TO 4-5 FT TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN
CHANCES (20-40% CHANCE) WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 88 80 89 / 0 30 10 10
VICTORIA 76 88 77 89 / 10 50 10 10
LAREDO 77 95 77 95 / 10 0 0 20
ALICE 76 90 77 90 / 0 10 10 10
ROCKPORT 81 90 82 90 / 10 50 20 10
COTULLA 76 95 77 95 / 10 0 0 20
KINGSVILLE 77 89 78 89 / 0 20 10 10
NAVY CORPUS 81 88 82 88 / 10 50 20 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR TXZ345-442-443-
447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77
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