714
FXUS64 KCRP 062323
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
623 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 619 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
- DRIER PERIOD FROM SUNDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH MODERATE
HEATRISK BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN
SEEING MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
THE CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND FILL,
TRANSITIONING INTO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT
PLAINS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE AREA, KEEPING
MOISTURE HIGH THROUGH THE PROFILE THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. CAM
GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE DOING FAIRLY WELL THIS MORNING, SO FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT IN SHOWERS AND THE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM OVER THE
COASTAL BEND AND GULF WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE ARE GOING
TO BE MUCH LIKE THE PREVIOUS DAYS, WHERE WE SEE QUICK POP-UP SHOWERS
THAT MAY HAVE HEAVY RAINFALL. OVER THE REST OF THE AREA, RAIN
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY, LIMITING
OUR RAIN CHANCES TO GENERALLY SEABREEZE CONVECTION.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK, NEARING 100 DEGREES
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WIDESPREAD HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL REACH 105-110, WHICH COULD LEAD TO A MODERATE
(LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS REACHING A MAJOR
(LEVEL 3 OF 4) HEAT RISK.
WITH RESPECT TO THE BEACH HAZARDS, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE PERSISTENT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND AND INCREASED LONG PERIOD SWELL INCREASE TODAY.
THERE IS STILL LOW-CONFIDENCE ON MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH
TIDE CYCLES. IF THE WATER LEVEL REACH THE VICINITY OF THE DUNES, IT
WILL LIKELY BE SHORT IN DURATION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
FOR ANY ADVISORY ISSUANCES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH 06Z. HI-RES MODELS ARE AGAIN
HINTING AT SCATTERED SHOWERS FORMING ACROSS THE MATAGORDA BAY AREA
AFTER 08Z AND ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AFTER 12Z.
REGARDLESS IF A SHOWER DEVELOPS, MVFR CONDITIONS BROUGHT BY CIGS
WILL BE PREVALENT THROUGH 18Z, WHILE REMAINING OVER THE COASTAL
TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. AFTER 18Z, CONFIDENCE IS LOW
ABOUT SHOWER/STORM LOCATION, BUT GENERAL CHANCES ARE GREATEST
ALONG THE COAST DURING THE TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
A GENTLE SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE TODAY WILL INCREASE TO MORE MODERATE
TO FRESH (BF 4-5) STARTING TONIGHT. SEAS NEAR 3 FT TODAY WILL
INCREASE TO 4-5 FT TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN
CHANCES (20-40% CHANCE) WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 89 80 89 / 10 20 20 10
VICTORIA 77 88 77 89 / 0 20 10 10
LAREDO 78 95 78 95 / 10 0 0 10
ALICE 77 91 77 90 / 0 10 20 10
ROCKPORT 81 89 82 89 / 0 20 30 10
COTULLA 77 95 77 95 / 10 0 0 20
KINGSVILLE 78 90 79 89 / 0 10 30 10
NAVY CORPUS 81 87 82 87 / 10 20 30 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR TXZ345-442-443-
447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...AE/82
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