459
FXUS64 KCRP 071821
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
121 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
- DRIER PERIOD THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH MODERATE HEATRISK
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY AND LOW
CONFIDENCE IN SEEING MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
A SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAK AND COASTAL TROUGHING WILL KEEP MOISTURE
STREAMING INTO THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY (PWAT VALUES
HOVERING BETWEEN 1.95-2.25"). THIS WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF LIGHT
RAIN IN THE FORECAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS. BY AFTERNOON MONDAY, SEABREEZE CONVECTION COULD
BRING RAIN CHANCES FURTHER INLAND AND ALSO RESULT IN HEAVIER
RAINFALL THAN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE IN, WARMING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO
THE 90S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND NEAR 100 ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS AND NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY. WITH THESE WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RANGING FROM 40% INLAND TO
NEARLY 80% ALONG THE COAST, HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 100-
108 LEADING TO A WIDESPREAD MODERATE HEAT RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 4), WITH
AREAS OF MAJOR HEAT RISK (LEVEL 3 OF 4) THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.
WITH RESPECT TO THE RIP CURRENT RISK, PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
AND INCREASED SWELL PERIODS WILL KEEP THE RISK AT HIGH, THOUGH BY
TUESDAY, WINDS DECREASE ALLOWING FOR THE RISK TO BE MORE ON THE
MODERATE SIDE. WITH RESPECT TO COASTAL FLOODING, IT STILL LOOKS
MARGINAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. AT WORST, IT LOOKS LIKE
MOTORISTS MAY BRIEFLY SEE TIGHTER BEACH ROADS ALONG THE DUNES, BUT
THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE COASTAL PLAINS
TODAY, BUT MOST OF THE RAIN THAT IS EXPECTED LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT WILL BE STRATIFORM. GENERALLY VFR TO OCCASIONALLY
MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL
GUST TO 20-25 KNOTS TODAY, DIMINISHING AROUND 07Z TO LESS THAN 12
KNOTS. WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN BY MID-MORNING, WITH LOW RAIN
CHANCES RETURNING AROUND 16Z. FOR THOSE IN THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WINDS
WILL WEAKEN TO 12 KNOTS OR BELOW AROUND 06Z. MVFR CEILINGS WILL
DEVELOP AROUND 10Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH 15Z, WHEN VFR CONDITIONS
RETURN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
EXPECT MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES (BF 4-5) AND 3-5 FT
SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. LOW TO MODERATE (15-
40%) CHANCES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY, THEN CHANCES BECOME VERY LOW (<15%)THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 88 78 89 / 30 30 0 0
VICTORIA 77 88 76 91 / 20 20 10 0
LAREDO 78 93 78 95 / 0 20 10 0
ALICE 78 89 77 91 / 10 30 10 0
ROCKPORT 81 86 81 89 / 30 20 10 0
COTULLA 77 94 77 95 / 0 20 10 0
KINGSVILLE 78 88 77 90 / 20 30 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 81 87 81 88 / 40 30 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR TXZ345-442-443-
447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77
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