497
FXUS64 KCRP 080558
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1258 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1255 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
- DRIER PERIOD THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH MODERATE HEATRISK
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.
- HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY AND LOW
CONFIDENCE IN SEEING MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
A SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAK AND COASTAL TROUGHING WILL KEEP MOISTURE
STREAMING INTO THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY (PWAT VALUES
HOVERING BETWEEN 1.95-2.25"). THIS WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF LIGHT
RAIN IN THE FORECAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS. BY AFTERNOON MONDAY, SEABREEZE CONVECTION COULD
BRING RAIN CHANCES FURTHER INLAND AND ALSO RESULT IN HEAVIER
RAINFALL THAN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE IN, WARMING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO
THE 90S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND NEAR 100 ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS AND NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY. WITH THESE WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RANGING FROM 40% INLAND TO
NEARLY 80% ALONG THE COAST, HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 100-
108 LEADING TO A WIDESPREAD MODERATE HEAT RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 4), WITH
AREAS OF MAJOR HEAT RISK (LEVEL 3 OF 4) THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.
WITH RESPECT TO THE RIP CURRENT RISK, PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
AND INCREASED SWELL PERIODS WILL KEEP THE RISK AT HIGH, THOUGH BY
TUESDAY, WINDS DECREASE ALLOWING FOR THE RISK TO BE MORE ON THE
MODERATE SIDE. WITH RESPECT TO COASTAL FLOODING, IT STILL LOOKS
MARGINAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. AT WORST, IT LOOKS LIKE
MOTORISTS MAY BRIEFLY SEE TIGHTER BEACH ROADS ALONG THE DUNES, BUT
THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1255 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
CURRENTLY A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH
MAINLY MVFR OVERNIGHT WITH SOME IFR POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS IS FORECAST AGAIN DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION AND HAVE MAINTAINED PROB30S AND
VCTS AS CHANCES REMAIN LOW TO MODERATE ACROSS EACH TERMINAL WITH
REDUCED VSBYS IN AND AROUND STORMS. A DIURNAL FLOW IS EXPECTED
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 20-25KT. DRIER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
EXPECT MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES (BF 4-5) AND 3-5 FT
SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. LOW TO MODERATE (15-
40%) CHANCES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY, THEN CHANCES BECOME VERY LOW (<15%)THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 78 89 79 90 / 0 0 0 10
VICTORIA 76 91 75 91 / 10 0 0 10
LAREDO 78 95 76 97 / 10 0 0 0
ALICE 77 91 76 91 / 10 0 0 10
ROCKPORT 81 89 81 90 / 10 0 0 0
COTULLA 77 95 75 97 / 10 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 77 90 77 90 / 0 0 0 10
NAVY CORPUS 81 88 82 88 / 0 0 0 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR TXZ345-442-443-
447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...BF/80
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