125  
FNUS71 KCTP 041132  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SASSAFRAS RX...PA-DCNR-BOF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
732 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 05.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TODAY WILL TURN MUCH WARMER AND BREEZY WITH A SMALL UPTICK IN  
HUMIDITY. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE  
AROUND 70 DEGREES WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM  
RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE.  
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED. A  
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT.  
 
THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES ON TUESDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES  
APPROACHING 80 DEGREES. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DURING THE MORNING  
WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR THE AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHWESTERLY  
WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH WILL  
BE POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT  
RANGE. THERE WILL BE A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING  
THE DAY ON TUESDAY, THOUGH THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE  
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 23 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 35  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................35 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 164 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 59 59 60 60 64 67 71 71 71 71  
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 20  
TEMP.............. 58 60 63 66 68 70 70 71 71 70  
RH................ 72 69 62 56 52 47 45 42 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST... 20 21 22 22 23 23 23 22 21 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.5 3.0 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 18 30 33 35 33 33 32 31 29 28  
LVORI............. 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 35 164 164 164 139 139 139 127 127 127  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 13  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 TO 31.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 72 72 73 75 76 78 81 85 88 89 89 90  
WEATHER COV....... LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP.............. 69 66 64 62 60 59 58 57 57 56 56 55  
RH................ 44 48 52 56 60 62 64 69 69 74 74 80  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18 16 14 14 14 13 13 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 23 18 14 13 12 10 12 12 13 13 13 13  
LVORI............. 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI............... 31 31 31 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............5 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................17 TO 30 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 92 93 95 95 95 95 95 95 82 81 80 79  
WEATHER COV....... DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP.............. 55 54 53 54 54 55 56 56 57 57 57 56  
RH................ 83 86 93 93 93 90 86 86 80 77 72 69  
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S S S S S SW W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW S S S S S SW W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 10 9 10 10 12  
LVORI............. 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 M M M M  
ADI............... 17 17 17 30 30 30 26 26 26 M M M  
 
 
FORECASTER...BAUCO  
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY DAYHOFF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612613.0/CTP  
.DELDT 05/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERDAYHOFF@PA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab PA Page
Main Text Page