931
FNUS71 KCTP 190644
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWELL TRAIL...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
244 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
VERY WARM TODAY WITH A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN. HIGH TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON WILL CHALLENGE DAILY RECORDS FOR MID/LATE MAY.
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE EVENING.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 140 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 53 51 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 56 56 57
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP.............. 68 66 70 73 77 80 82 84 86 86 87 84
RH................ 78 84 73 66 58 52 49 44 42 43 42 46
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 6 7 10 14 17 18 20 19 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 9 8 12 15 20 23 25 25 25 24 22 22
LVORI............. 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 13 13 13 105 105 105 140 140 140 117 117 117
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-60 PERCENT)
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 TO 25.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 54 51 48 48 49 50 50 51 52 55 58 61
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP.............. 84 82 78 76 74 72 71 70 69 67 67 66
RH................ 48 51 58 62 66 68 71 71 73 78 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 14 13 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 3.3 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW W W SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 18 15 12 12 12 12 13 14 12 12 10 10
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI............... 25 25 25 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................37 TO 57.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 64 67 70 74 79 83 82 80 79 74 70 65
WEATHER COV....... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 20 20 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 0
TEMP.............. 65 67 68 70 74 75 76 73 72 72 70 70
RH................ 84 78 78 73 66 64 60 64 64 59 57 53
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.8 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 10 12 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16
LVORI............. 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 37 37 37 57 57 57 55 55 55 54 54 54
FORECASTER...STEINBUGL
REQUESTED BY...TODD BREININGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613992.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CENGEL@PA.GOV,TBREININGE@PA.GOV
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