274
FNUS71 KCTP 090927
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR LANCING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
527 AM EDT TUE JUN 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JUNE 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS TO START OFF TODAY WILL GRADUALLY THICKEN AS A
MID-LEVEL AND THEN LOW-LEVEL DECK SETTLES INTO THE REGION NEAR THE
BURN SITE. INITIAL TIMING FOR LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS AT THE SITE ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS,
ALTHOUGH THESE CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS EARLY AS MID-MORNING. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT THIS MORNING WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED
TO TOP OUT CLOSER TO 10 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST
RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS CLOSER TO THE LOWER RANGE IN GUIDANCE,
WITH THE FLOOR CLOSER TO 55% DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
DRY CONDITIONS TO START OFF TODAY WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES
THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN RAIN SHOWERS AND
POTENTIALLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1PM. THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IS THE MAIN FORECAST UNCERTAINTY OF THE DAY; HOWEVER,
BEST TIMING FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS AT THE SITE WILL BE BETWEEN 2PM
AND 6PM THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. RINSE-AND-REPEAT PATTERN WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON HOURS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY;
HOWEVER, SOME STRONGER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH STRONGER WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...34 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................20 TO 58.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 69 71 72 73 74 74 75 76 76 77 77
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30
TEMP.............. 61 65 69 73 76 78 79 80 80 79 78
RH................ 87 80 74 68 64 62 62 60 60 64 67
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14
LVORI............. 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 20 20 41 41 41 58 58 58 48 48 48
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...27 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................8 TO 17.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 80 82 85 84 84 83 81 78 76 79 83 86
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP.............. 77 76 75 72 70 68 68 67 66 66 66 65
RH................ 69 69 69 76 81 87 87 93 93 93 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD.... 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13
LVORI............. 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
ADI............... 17 17 17 9 9 9 10 10 10 8 8 8
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................13 TO 50.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 92 83 82 83 78 78 67 76 53 61 60 64
WEATHER COV....... DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 40
TEMP.............. 66 66 67 69 71 73 74 76 78 79 80 81
RH................ 97 97 97 90 87 84 82 76 71 69 67 65
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 16 16 17 17 17
LVORI............. 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1
ADI............... 13 13 13 31 31 31 48 48 48 50 50 50
FORECASTER...BEATY
REQUESTED BY...CALVIN BERNAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615003.4/CTP
.DELDT 06/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CAVLIN.BERNAL@USDA.GOV,PAMACC@FIRENET.GOV
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