422
FXUS61 KCTP 250115
AFDCTP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
915 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* FROST ADVY EXPANDED TO INCLUDE MCKEAN AND POTTER CO
KEY MESSAGES
1) EXTENDED STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER WITH MINOR WIND IMPACTS FROM
NOR'EASTER THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: EXTENDED STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER WITH MINOR WIND
IMPACTS FROM NOR'EASTER THIS WEEKEND
ANOTHER CHILLY LATE SEPTEMBER NIGHT PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALLEGHENIES WHERE PATCHY FROST IS LIKELY IN
THE USUAL COLD SPOTS. COORDINATED WITH PBZ AND LWX ON A FROST
ADVISORY FOR SOMERSET COUNTY. ADDED MCKEAN AND POTTER COUNTIES
TO THE FROST ADVISORY THIS EVENING WITH TEMPS ALREADY FALLING
INTO THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S AT 8 PM, INCREASING THE
LIKELIHOOD OF FROST LATER TONIGHT.
A MUCH NEEDED BREAK FROM THE RAIN (FOLLOWING ONE OF THE WETTEST
MID TO LATE SUMMER PATTERNS ON RECORD) IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF CENTRAL PA.
A NOR'EASTER DEVELOPING OFFSHORE NJ/LONG ISLAND/SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COULD BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
CWA (MAINLY EAST OF US-15) LATER THIS WEEKEND (20-40 POPS SAT,
40-60 POPS SUN). BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WITH MAX GUSTS 30-35 MPH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.
AS THE NOR'EASTER MOVES TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIMES,
TEMPERATURES ARE PROJECTED TO REBOUND AND CLIMB SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE THE HISTORICAL AVERAGE BY THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK.
AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALLEGHENIES. MARGINAL
LLWS IS ALSO EXPECTED AT KLNS AND KMDT MAINLY 06-12Z FRI. SFC WIND
WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND, GENERALLY FROM ~360
DEGREES GUSTING 20-30KT.
OUTLOOK...
SAT-SUN...MVFR AND PDS OF -RA POSSIBLE FAR EASTERN AIRFIELDS.
MON-TUE...VFR.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR PAZ005-006-033.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...COLBERT
KEY MESSAGES...STEINBUGL/COLBERT
DISCUSSION...STEINBUGL/COLBERT
AVIATION...STEINBUGL/COLBERT
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