653
FXUS61 KCTP 240900
AFDCTP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
500 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY FORECAST HOLDS FOR THE NEXT 6-7 DAYS
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY FORECAST HOLDS FOR NEXT 6-7 DAYS
WIDESPREAD FREEZING CONDITIONS WILL BE TOUGH TO COME BY ACROSS
LEBANON AND LANCASTER COUNTIES, BUT TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEYS
WILL SEE TEMPS DIP TO 31-32F AND FAIRLY WIDESPREAD FROST SHOULD
OCCUR ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE FREEZE WARNING.
A SPRAWLING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL
KEEP THE PROBABILITY FOR MEASURABLE RAIN AT ZERO HERE IN
PENNSYLVANIA DURING THIS PERIOD.
SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CWA TODAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S, THOUGH THE
HIGHEST RIDGES WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 50S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL
BE SIMILAR TO THOSE THIS MORNING (UPPER 20S TO MID 30S) AND
HIGHS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ABOUT 2 DEGREES WARMER THAN
TODAY.
A PAIR OF WEAK, MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONTS AND FLAT NORTHERN
STREAM SHORT WAVES, WILL DRIFT SE FROM THE FROM THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES MON NIGHT-TUES AND LATE THURS INTO EARLY FRIDAY, BUT POPS
ARE HARDLY WORTH HAVING AS PWATS STAY VERY LOW WITH EACH.
LATER NEXT WEEK INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY (10/31), THE WETTER
TRENDING GFS MEMBERS HAVE FLIPPED TOWARD THE DRIER EC WITH A
NOTABLE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID
ATLANTIC REGION.
AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
LOOKING AT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND, AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE AS WELL. VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SAT AND
SUN MORNING, WITH A 30-40 PCT CHANCE OF IMPACTING BFD AND IPT.
THIS WEATHER PATTERN LIKELY TO LAST AT LEAST INTO MID WEEK.
SUN-WED...VFR PREVAILING CONDITIONS.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR PAZ059-066.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...LAMBERT/DANGELO
KEY MESSAGES...LAMBERT/DANGELO
DISCUSSION...LAMBERT/DANGELO
AVIATION...COLBERT/MARTIN
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