837
FXUS61 KCTP 241705
AFDCTP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
105 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY FORECAST HOLDS FOR THE NEXT 6-7 DAYS
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY FORECAST HOLDS FOR THE NEXT 6-7 DAYS
WE DON'T SEE ANY NEW EVIDENCE IN OUR SUITE OF MODEL GUIDANCE TO
DEVIATE AWAY FROM OUR EXISTING RAIN-FREE FORECAST.
A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE, ALONG WITH A RIDGE
AXIS ALOFT, WILL KEEP THE COMMONWEALTH RAIN-FREE THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. WE DO EXPECT A COLD FRONT
TO DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY, BUT WITH ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE LEVELS TO WORK WITH,
JUST SOME PATCHY CLOUDINESS AND NO RAINFALL ARE THE
EXPECTATIONS.
AFTER A BRIEF SHOT OF SEASONABLY COOL AIR TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, A WARMING TREND IS LIKELY LATER IN THE WEEK, ALONG
WITH CONTINUED RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS. AT LEAST SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE COMMONWEALTH SHOULD POP BACK INTO THE 70S AS WE APPROACH
NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
LOOKING AT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND, AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE AS WELL. VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SAT AND
SUN MORNING, WITH A 30-40 PCT CHANCE OF IMPACTING BFD AND IPT.
THIS WEATHER PATTERN LIKELY TO LAST AT LEAST INTO MID WEEK.
SUN-WED...VFR PREVAILING CONDITIONS.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...JUREWICZ
KEY MESSAGES...JUREWICZ
DISCUSSION...JUREWICZ
AVIATION...COLBERT/MARTIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page