921
FNUS71 KCTP 260847
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 048 NASTY THICK...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
447 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
ONE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY, ALLOWING A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT
TO DRIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DISTRICT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OUTSIDE OF A FEW SPRINKLES ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATER
TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT, NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS
ENTIRE WEEK.
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, ANOTHER, LARGER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND
EXTEND OUR LENGTHY STRING OF RAINFREE CONDITIONS THROUGH PART OR
ALL OF THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.
THE WIND WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY AND VEER TO THE NORTHWEST
THEN NORTH RESPECTIVELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. GUSTS SHOULD
TOP OUT IN THE MID TEENS (MPH).
TODAY WILL LIKELY BE THE DRIEST DAY THIS WEEK RH-WISE WITH AFTERNOON
MIN RH IN THE LOW TO MID 40 PERCENT RANGE. FUEL MOISTURES WILL
BE DRYING OUT TOO. GENERALLY LIGHT WIND AND ONLY MODERATELY LOW
MIN RH VALUES SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT FOR RAPID FIRE WEATHER SPREAD
ON THE LOW SIDE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 TO 37.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 7 8 10 8 4 4 4 3 2
WEATHER COV....... PTY
WEATHER TYPE...... FOG
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 45 50 54 57 60 61 62 63 61
RH................ 76 71 64 57 51 49 50 48 49
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 10
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR... NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 8 8 9 10 10 9 9 10 9
LVORI............. 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
ADI............... 19 19 19 37 37 37 37 37 37
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 4 5 11 20 27 38 37 40 29 18 27 27
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 59 57 53 52 51 50 50 49 48 48 47 47
RH................ 53 55 64 69 71 74 74 77 80 80 83 83
20 FT WIND DIR.... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST... 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 9 8 8 7
LVORI............. 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5
ADI............... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
BECOMING 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 TO 19.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 30 34 40 18 29 38 57 58 68 55 59 41
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 46 45 45 48 51 54 56 59 60 61 62 60
RH................ 86 89 86 83 80 74 69 64 62 62 58 62
20 FT WIND DIR.... N N N N NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 6 6 5 4 2 4 4 4 5 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR... N N N N NE E E S S S SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD... 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
LVORI............. 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
ADI............... 7 7 7 11 11 11 19 19 19 17 17 17
FORECASTER...LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624434.0/CTP
.DELDT 10/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BMCNEAL@PA.GOV
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