895  
FNUS73 KDDC 112227  
FWSDDC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RIVER...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
527 PM CDT WED SEP 11 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (620) 225-6514, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUST UP TO  
AROUND 30 MPH WILL FALL DECREASE SLIGHTLY BY SUNSET TO AROUND 15  
MPH. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH UNTIL A COLD  
FRONT MOVES THROUGH STAFFORD COUNTY BETWEEN 4 AM AND 7 AM  
TONIGHT. AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE  
NORTH AT 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........89 AT FORECAST START...FALLING TO AROUND 80  
BY SUNSET.  
RH..................45 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN  
38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
29 MPH AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 18 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE  
9600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 32 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5 PM  
SKY (%).........14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............88  
RH..............38  
20 FT WIND......S 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.30  
MIX HGT (FT)....9600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 40  
HAINES INDEX....5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM.  
 
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.  
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH BETWEEN 4  
AM AND 7 AM WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TONIGHT (BETWEEN 7PM AND  
10PM).  
 
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 21  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........39 25 20 12 20 10  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............87 79 74 71 69 66  
RH..............40 54 69 73 76 81  
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 13 S 14 S 11 SW 11 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 22 17 17 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....8500 4500 300 BLW100 200 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 33 S 32 S 29 SW 28 SW 24 SW 18  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 3 3  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.  
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-10300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO  
23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO  
2 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........28 2 1 4 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 62 67 75 80 82  
RH..............78 78 61 40 31 28  
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 8 N 12 N 12 N 9 NE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 20 17 11 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1000 3200 5700 8000 9700  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 NW 15 N 23 N 14 N 6 N 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...BURGERT  
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTAL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1915321.0/DDC  
.DELDT 09/11/19  
.EMAIL COPBC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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