507  
FXUS63 KDLH 180543  
AFDDLH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
1243 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- RAIN RETURNS FRIDAY, THOUGH MOST PLACES WILL NOT SEE MORE  
THAN 0.75 INCHES. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THOUGH A  
LITTLE THUNDER IS POSSIBLE.  
 
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS  
BEFORE RETURNING TO CLOSE TO NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.  
 
- ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT  
THE WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2025  
 
HIGH-PRESSURE CONTINUES TODAY, BRINGING SUN THOUGH DIURNAL  
CLOUD COVER HAS DEVELOPED, MAKING IT FEEL MORE CLOUDY. WINDS  
WILL BE LIGHT, KEEPING TEMPERATURES A BIT COOLER THAN AVERAGE,  
TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW 70S. UNFORTUNATELY, WILDFIRE SMOKE FROM  
CANADA IS DRIFTING SOUTH, NOTABLY NEAR INTERNATIONAL FALLS,  
WHICH HAS PROMPTED AN AIR QUALITY ALERT FOR THE FAR NORTHERN  
FORECAST AREA.  
 
FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR  
REGION, BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOST AREAS CAN EXPECT  
GENERALLY LIGHT RAINFALL, WITH AMOUNTS TYPICALLY UNDER HALF AN  
INCH. HOWEVER, SOME LOCALIZED SPOTS COULD SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER  
TOTALS, POSSIBLY REACHING UP TO AN INCH, DEPENDING ON WHERE ANY  
HEAVIER SHOWERS DEVELOP WITHIN THE SYSTEM. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE  
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.  
 
RIDGING BUILDS FOR THE WEEKEND SO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB  
INTO THE UPPER 70S AND EVEN LOW 80S, FEELING MUCH CLOSER TO WHAT  
WE TYPICALLY EXPERIENCE THIS TIME OF YEAR.  
 
EARLY NEXT WEEK, ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE IN, PUSHING  
TEMPERATURES EVEN HIGHER. WERE LOOKING AT WIDESPREAD 80S,  
POSSIBLY EVEN NEARING 90 DEGREES IN OUR SOUTHERN HALF OF THE  
FORECAST AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CHANCES  
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MONDAY ONWARD AS THE WEATHER  
REMAINS ACTIVE. WHILE SOME INGREDIENTS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE  
STORMS WILL BE PRESENT, A CAP IN THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD KEEP  
THINGS FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND. WELL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS  
FOR ANY CHANGES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
 
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING, WITH THE AREA OF GREATEST  
CONFIDENCE IN REDUCED VISIBILITY BEING AROUND THE IRON RANGE IN FAR  
NORTH-CENTRAL MINNESOTA. CURRENT OBS SHOW VISIBILITY MOSTLY AT  
MVFR, BUT PERIODS OF IFR AND LIFR FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE.  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE  
AREA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT A GENERAL  
TREND OF DECREASING CIGS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY WITHIN HEAVIER  
POCKETS OF RAIN.  
 
 
   
MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/  
 
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2025  
 
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE AREA WILL LEAD TO WINDS AT 10  
KTS OR LESS AND WAVES LESS THAN 1 FT. SHOWER THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN FOR WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR EARLY FRIDAY  
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED, THOUGH  
THERE MAY BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD-TO-WATER LIGHTNING.  
 
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA  
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.  
 
 
   
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MN...NONE.  
WI...NONE.  
MARINE...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...WOLFE  
AVIATION...UNRUH  
MARINE...KML  
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