886  
FNUS73 KDLH 161155  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOBIQUE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
555 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON DECEMBER 16.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
 
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE TODAY, AND HIGH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON, AHEAD OF A CLIPPER MOVING  
THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON,  
TURNING WINDS TO THE WEST THEN NORTHWEST. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON OF  
35MPH ARE POSSIBLE. DO NOT EXPECT MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TODAY. STRONG  
NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST THIS EVENING, BEFORE WEAKENING.  
 
A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES WEDNESDAY EVENING, WITH LIGHT RAIN OR  
DRIZZLE TRANSITIONING TO A WINTRY MIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  
WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY, WITH GUSTS OF  
30MPH, THAT CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS  
AROUND 1.0 INCH ARE POSSIBLE.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 16 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 23  
TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6500-26800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (29200-41600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............24 26 27 30 35 39 42 43 43 43 40 37  
RH..............82 81 80 85 82 84 82 82 79 78 82 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 10 11 12 12 13 15 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 20 23 23 26 28 30 33 34 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 17 17 20 23 24 24 25 26 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 7 7 9 11 17 27 29 35 33 42 33  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 11.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 7  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10300-28100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING  
TO POOR (2000-7200 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....DZL  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 32 28 26 24 22 19 17 15 14 13 12  
RH..............87 78 85 85 83 79 84 90 92 92 94 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 16 15 13 12 11 9 8 6 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 33 32 29 28 27 25 21 16 14 11 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 25 24 24 22 20 16 13 10 7 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100026 25 15 19 28 20 17 11 7 5 2 2  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-19600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR (21600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............11 11 12 14 18 21 24 26 27 29 29 30  
RH..............100 96 96 100 100 100 100 96 100 96 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 12 14 15 19 21 23 26 28 29 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 9 12 15 15 18 18 21 24 25 24  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 3 4 10 12 17 14 20 26 25 22  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOLLY  
REQUESTED BY...AARON BOUCHONVILLE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527701.0/DLH  
.DELDT 12/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.BOUCHONVILLE@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MN Page
The Nexlab WI Page
Main Text Page