618
FNUS73 KDLH 171420
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST TORCH PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
820 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 18.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY MORNING WILL ALREADY BE GUSTY BY DAYBREAK
TOMORROW. EXPECT THESE GUSTY WINDS TO LAST INTO THE ENTIRE DAYTIME
PERIOD THURSDAY AT THE BURN SITE. THESE GUSTY WINDS THOUGH WILL
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST IN THE MORNING AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST
BY THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS ARE CONTINUOUS
WINTRY MIX PRECIPITATION CHANCES FROM TONIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX PRECIP CHANCES TAPER OFF THURSDAY EVENING,
ALONG WITH DECREASING WINDS SLOWLY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
DRIZZLE LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
SNOW LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14200-30200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO GOOD (39500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....DZL SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 40 40 30 60 70 60
TEMP............34 36 36 34 32 30 28 25 21
RH..............92 85 82 85 85 85 85 84 88
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 21 21 22 22 23 23 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 16 15 14 14 15 18 23
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 21 25 28 25 23 23 30 40
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW LATE
IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 1 BELOW.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34400-54000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD
(30400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 20 20
TEMP............18 12 6 2
RH..............88 84 79 83
20 FT WIND......NW 10G25 N 9G23 NW 8G22 NW 6G18
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2400 2700 2100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 26 N 24 N 23 N 21
SDSPL KT-FT/100048 50 54 38
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10100-26400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNOW SNOW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20
TEMP............-1 1 10 15
RH..............83 83 66 61
20 FT WIND......NW 4G13 NW 3G11 S 4G11 S 6G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1400 1700 1500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 12 SW 7 S 10
SDSPL KT-FT/100026 14 10 14
FORECASTER...NATHAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SCHARENBROCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527870.0/DLH
.DELDT 12/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.SCHARENBROCK@USDA.GOV,JOSEPH.F.EUCOLONO@USDA.GOV
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