864
FXUS63 KDLH 061736
AFDDLH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1136 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FLURRIES THROUGH THIS MORNING AS SKIES GRADUALLY CLEAR NORTH
TO SOUTH WITH NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING FROM 25 TO 35 MPH.
- QUICK COOL DOWN BACK BELOW ZERO ON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A RETURN
TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EACH DAY SUNDAY ONWARD.
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIP ARE POSSIBLE FROM
SATURDAY ONWARD. FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
SHORELINE AREAS AND A BIT INLAND AND MORE WIDESPREAD SUNDAY
NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE MOST WIDESPREAD MODERATE
SNOWFALL HAS MOVED OUT OF INLAND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AT THIS
TIME EARLY THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT IS PASSING THROUGH AREAS
SOUTH OF US HWY 2 AS WELL RIGHT NOW WITH HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE
ROLL CLOUDS IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT PRODUCING FLURRIES IN
FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA. FLURRIES WERE KEPT IN THE WEATHER
FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THIS MORNING AS THE TRAILING-FRONTAL
STRATUS DECK SLOWLY CLEARS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS MORNING.
BEHIND THE FRONT, STRONG NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS ARE USHERING IN
A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS. EXPECT NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR THE DAY HAVE LIKELY ALREADY OCCURRED FOR MANY,
AS VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN ZERO AND 15
BELOW ZERO BY LATER TODAY.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN, LEADING
TO A VERY COLD NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHLAND. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO DIVE WELL INTO THE NEGATIVES, RANGING FROM 5 BELOW ZERO
IN THE SOUTH TO NEAR 20 BELOW ZERO FOR THE IRON RANGE NORTHWARD
INTO THE INTERIOR ARROWHEAD. THIS COLD SNAP WILL BE BRIEF
THOUGH AS A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON SUNDAY.
SATURDAY EVENING A CLIPPER TO THE NORTH IS PROGGED TO BRING VERY
LIGHT SNOWFALL TO AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF US HWY 2 IN THE
EVENING TO EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. AFTER A DRIER MID-LEVEL AIRMASS
ENTERS INTO THE NORTHLAND FROM THE SOUTHWEST THOUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT, LINGERING ONSHORE FLOW CREATES CONCERNS FOR FREEZING
DRIZZLE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. FREEZING DRIZZLE WAS ADDED INTO
THE FORECAST FOR THE NORTH SHORE AND A BIT INLAND AREAS OF THE
ARROWHEAD INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER SIMILAR SETUP MAY
OCCUR AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. DETERMINISTIC GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE
DO SUGGEST THIS POTENTIAL BEING A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD SUNDAY
NIGHT, BUT HELD OFF ON INTRODUCTIONS OF WEATHER GRID MENTIONS
INLAND AT THIS TIME. IF FREEZING DRIZZLE IS ABLE TO FORM, THEN A
FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE MAY ACCUMULATE ON
SURFACES...THE MOST LIKELY TIME PERIOD WOULD BE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR
THE ARROWHEAD TO SOUTH SHORE AND ALONG THE WI STATE ROUTE 13
CORRIDOR.
NEAR TO ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY DROP
DOWN IN THE MID-20S WEDNESDAY, WHILE REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL
INTO THE END OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS PATTERN OF WEAK
CLIPPERS PRODUCING LIGHT PRECIPITATION EVERY OTHER DAY OR SO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS WELL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR THIS AFTERNOON AND HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE IN TONIGHT. A FEW CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST UNTIL AROUND OR JUST AFTER SUNSET, BUT THEN
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE CLOSE TO CALM SHORTLY AFTER AND REMAIN
THAT WAY THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OUT TO THE EAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED FROM
THE WEST. VFR CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH
THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR
NEARSHORE WATERS TODAY. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE FOR BRIEF, LOCALIZED GALES TO 35 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE
THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER THE AREA. WAVES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN 2 FEET OR LESS IN
ICE FREE AREAS.
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LSZ140-
141-150.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LSZ142>146-148.
DISCUSSION...NLY
AVIATION...JDS
MARINE...NLY
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