242
FXUS63 KDLH 100549
AFDDLH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1149 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A QUICK-MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A QUICK ROUND OF RAIN
THIS AFTERNOON, MIXING WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW INTO THIS
EVENING. MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
- NO MAJOR WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
CLOUDY SKIES ABOUND ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS
ALL IN-TANDEM WITH A CLIPPER WITH A LOW CENTER JUST NORTH OF THE
CANADIAN BORDER AND A BAROCLINIC ZONE JUST ALOFT, WHICH WILL BE
THE FOCUS FOR A BIT OF MIXED PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. INITIALLY, WE'RE DEALING WITH SOME PRETTY DRY AIR
AROUND THE NORTHLAND WITH TEMP AND DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND
10 DEGREES. SOME RADAR ECHOES TO OUR WEST DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
PRODUCING ANY PRECIPITATION AT THE SURFACE YET, THOUGH THERE ARE
HIGHER DEW POINTS TO OUR WEST THAT SUGGEST THAT SOME RAIN MAY
MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE WITHIN A FEW HOURS.
THE LATEST MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN DOWNWARD FOR PRECIPITATION
THIS EVENING A LITTLE BIT, BUT WE'RE STILL LOOKING AT THE SAME
GENERAL BRAINERD LAKES INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AREA HAVING THE
BEST CHANCES AT SEEING SOME MINOR IMPACTS. IN THE BRAINERD
LAKES, AND MOST OF EAST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA, ABOVE-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROBABLY CAUSE P-TYPE TO BE
MOSTLY RAIN. AROUND OR AFTER SUNSET AS THE PRECIP MOVES EAST,
EXPECT A GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT SNOW. THERE IS A NON-ZERO
CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET FOR PARTS OF
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AS TEMPERATURES START TO COOL OFF A BIT
AFTER SUNSET. OVERALL THOUGH, DUE TO THE QUICK-MOVING NATURE OF
THIS AND NOT A LOT OF QPF IN GENERAL, THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION
SHOULD RESULT IN MINOR IMPACTS AT WORST. SOME PLACES MAY HAVE A
BIT OF A SLICK EVENING COMMUTE, BUT NOTHING UNHEARD OF FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING IN A SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR MASS. WE COULD END UP WITH SOME RESIDUAL POST-FRONTAL
SNOW FLURRIES, SO I KEPT THAT IN THE FORECAST REGION-WIDE
TONIGHT. A SECONDARY UPPER-LEVEL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SAME
CLIPPER IN CANADA MAY BRING A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW (ACCUMULATIONS
LESS THAN HALF AN INCH) TO NORTHEAST MINNESOTA TUESDAY MORNING
TO MIDDAY OR SO. WE'LL ALSO SEE SOME BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY AND HIGHS BELOW FREEZING.
RIDGING BUILDS IN ON WEDNESDAY FROM THE WEST, AND IT'S LOOKING
LIKE WE'LL SETTLE INTO A PRETTY QUIET AND WARM WEATHER PATTERN
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, INTO THE WEEKEND, AND POSSIBLY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES, BUT WE WILL
HAVE A DIURNAL FREEZE/THAW CYCLE GOING ON, WHICH COULD LEAD TO
SOME SLIPPERY UNTREATED SURFACES (SIDEWALKS/DECKS) AND PERHAPS
SOME FOG AT TIMES DUE TO ADDED MOISTURE FROM SNOW MELT.
THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT A BROADER TROUGHING PATTERN OUT WEST
STARTING SOMETIME NEXT WEEK, WHICH COULD SET US UP FOR A MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. IT IS TOO SOON TO SAY FOR SURE THOUGH.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
MVFR CEILINGS HAVE SETTLED IN ACROSS THE NORTHLAND AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOR THE TAF PERIOD FOR MOST. SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE EXITING THE VICINITY OF THE HYR TERMINAL IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. NORTHWEST FLOW FOR TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW WILL LEAD TO
CONTINUED POSSIBILITY FOR FLURRIES ACROSS THE AREA, THOUGH THERE
IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR MVFR CONDITIONS AT INL AND HIB WHERE
HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS FROM SNOW BANDS MAY OCCUR TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PROB30S HAVE BEEN INCLUDED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE SHOWERS.
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
ISSUED AT 238 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE A BIT BREEZY BETWEEN GRAND
MARAIS AND GRAND PORTAGE FOR A COUPLE HOURS BEFORE SUNSET, BUT
THEN BRIEFLY DECREASING WINDS TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH. WINDS BECOME GUSTY AGAIN FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
TUESDAY MORNING, AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR
MOST NEARSHORE WATERS WITH NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 20 TO 30
KT EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS REMAIN NORTHWEST TO WEST
ON WEDNESDAY, BUT SPEED LIGHTENS UP QUITE A BIT. WINDS ARE
LOOKING GENERALLY LIGHT SEVERAL DAYS OUT AS WELL. WITH THE FRONT
THIS EVENING, SOME LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE.
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 3 AM CST WEDNESDAY
FOR LSZ140>142.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST TUESDAY FOR LSZ145-
146-148-150.
DISCUSSION...JDS
AVIATION...KML
MARINE...JDS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page