516
FXUS63 KDLH 061142
AFDDLH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
642 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHLAND
TODAY. MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.
- COLDER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 20S AND LOW 30S
THROUGH THE WEEK.
- OCCASIONAL AND SLIGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH LOW PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
STRATUS SETTLED OVER THE NORTHLAND TONIGHT, WITH A FEW SCATTERED
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MOVING FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO ACROSS THE
ARROWHEAD. THE CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN
EXPECTED, WITH MOST OF THE AREA STILL IN THE 30S. WHERE CLEARING
HAS OCCURRED, TEMPS ARE IN THE UPPER 20S. EXPECT THE CLOUD COVER
TO HANG AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, WHICH
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S AND 30S AROUND SUNRISE.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REMAINS ACTIVE TODAY, WITH ANOTHER WEAK
IMPULSE ROTATING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHLAND THIS MORNING.
WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES, EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS THIS MORNING WITH LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL MIXING, NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY AGAIN. THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT DRIER AIR SPREADS
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT, WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CLEARING AND
BETTER COOLING. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 20S AREAWIDE.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY PUSHES EAST OF THE AREA
AND WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY. HIGHS BY FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID 50S TO MID 60S. WE SHOULD ALSO HAVE MORE SUNSHINE BY
FRIDAY, WITH A DRYING TREND CONTRIBUTING TO MINIMUM RH VALUES IN
THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. THAT, COMBINED WITH THE LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THIS WEEK WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR FRIDAY.
THE PERSISTENT CYCLONIC NORTHWEST FLOW AT THE UPPER LEVELS OVER
THE REGION CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT, WHICH SHOULD BRING A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SATURDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN
FRIDAY AND A FEW LINGERING RAIN SHOWER CHANCES. COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
UPPER 40S AND 50S, AS A FRESH SHOT OF COLD AIR MOVES IN FROM
THE NORTH. THERE MAY BE ADDITIONAL SMALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES
AS WELL, DEPENDING ON WHETHER MOISTURE IS LEFT OVER THE AREA AS
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO.
EARLY NEXT WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW SHIFTS EAST,
ALLOWING WARMER TEMPERATURES TO PUSH BACK INTO THE AREA, PUSHING
TEMPERATURES NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME
INTERMITTENT PRECIPITATION CHANCES AS SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 637 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
WIDESPREAD LOW-END VFR STRATUS DECK MOVES OVER THE AREA TODAY.
THE STRIPE OF CLEAR SKIES OVER THE TWIN PORTS TO PARTS OF
NORTHWEST WI IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST LONG SO KEPT A MORE
PESSIMISTIC FORECAST AT KDLH TERMINALS FOR THE TIME BEING. EMBEDDED
FLURRIES IN THE ARROWHEAD AND IRON RANGE AREAS LAST THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW HOURS, BUT THE EASTWARD PUSH HAS ALLOWED THE PREVIOUS
VCSH TO BE REMOVED WITH THIS ISSUANCE. EXPECT ANOTHER PERIOD OF
SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES FROM VICINITY SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN
AFTER 17Z TODAY...BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO PLACE ANY
MENTIONS IN THE TAFS AT THIS POINT. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS
FORECAST TO GUST AROUND 20 KNOTS TODAY BEFORE QUICKLY BECOMING
CALM AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING AND BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON, REMAINING AT 5-15KTS. GUSTS TO 20KTS
ARE MOST LIKELY FROM GRAND MARAIS TO GRAND PORTAGE. WINDS
SUBSIDE TONIGHT, AND REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY THURSDAY AT 5-15KTS.
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL TODAY, WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, AND SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIPITATION. NORTHWEST WINDS COULD
GUST TO 20MPH THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES REMAINING
ABOVE 30 PERCENT. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, AND WHILE WINDS WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE 5 TO 10 MPH THURSDAY, THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN FOR FRIDAY AND WE MAY EXPERIENCE NEAR- CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
SEE THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT FOR A MORE THOROUGH
BREAKDOWN OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HA/LE
AVIATION...NLY
MARINE...HA
FIRE WEATHER...HA/LE
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