314  
FNUS73 KDLH 152130  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OVERPASS FIRE...KOOCHICHING COUNTY EM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
430 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXPECT THE VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS TO PERSIST  
FOR 2 TO 3 MORE HOURS. WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY BE ERRATIC, WITH  
HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. AROUND SUNSET,  
WINDS WILL DECREASE FAIRLY QUICKLY AND HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE  
ALONG WITH IT, THOUGH IT WILL PROBABLY TAKE AN HOUR OR TWO FOR  
HUMIDITY TO INCREASE ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WINDS LESSEN  
TONIGHT, BUT WILL NOT BECOME COMPLETELY CALM. EXPECT SOME CLOUDS  
TO MOVE IN SATURDAY MORNING, AND THIS WILL KEEP HUMIDITY ABOVE 40  
PERCENT THROUGH THE DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
32 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (121100 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............71  
RH..............22  
20 FT WIND DIR..W  
20 FT WIND SPD..20  
20 FT WIND GUST.32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.29  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000121  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33  
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12  
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (103200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
TO FAIR (6000-19900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 68 66 61 59 56 53 51 50 47 45 44  
RH..............21 28 31 36 40 46 53 59 61 65 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 15 13 10 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.33 32 27 26 19 14 14 14 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW W NW NW W W NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 23 18 15 14 13 14 13 13 13 13 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000103 44 20 7 7 6 8 7 7 6 9 9  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14900-33300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51000-73000 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 51 52 54 55  
RH..............70 68 63 60 56 52 50 46 46 44 41 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 11 12 13 13 12 12 11 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 18 19 19 19 19 18 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.2 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 20 21 22 22 21 20 18 17 16 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 33 53 61 68 73 71 71 73 69 65 51  
 

 
FORECASTER...JOSH  
REQUESTED BY...WILLI KOSTIUK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613760.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WILLI.KOSTIUK@CO.KOOCHICHING.MN.US  
 
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