043  
FNUS73 KDLH 152131  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OVERPASS FIRE...KOOCHICHING COUNTY EM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
431 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40  
MPH WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO  
AROUND 15 PERCENT AND SLOWLY RECOVER THIS EVENING. MAX RH  
OVERNIGHT WILL BE AROUND 70 PERCENT. WIND GUSTS WILL DROP BELOW 20  
MPH AROUND 10 PM. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE  
SITE SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY INITIALLY AND TURN  
NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON AT 8 TO 14 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WON'T BE AS WARM TOPPING  
OUT AROUND 56 DEGREES. RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 30 AND 35  
PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33  
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12  
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (103200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
TO FAIR (6000-19900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 68 66 61 59 56 53 51 50 47 45 44  
RH..............21 28 31 36 40 46 53 59 61 65 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 15 13 10 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.33 32 27 26 19 14 14 14 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW W NW NW W W NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 23 18 15 14 13 14 13 13 13 13 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000103 44 20 7 7 6 8 7 7 6 9 9  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14900-33300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51000-73000 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 51 52 54 55  
RH..............70 68 63 60 56 52 50 46 46 44 41 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 11 12 13 13 12 12 11 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 18 19 19 19 19 18 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.2 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 20 21 22 22 21 20 18 17 16 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 33 53 61 68 73 71 71 73 69 65 51  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 12  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(2900-11400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 56 53 49 47 45 42 41 40 39 38 37  
RH..............38 37 41 48 53 58 62 65 67 70 73 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 4 3 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 8 7 6 6 6 8 9 11 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 3.5 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 8 8 8 9 8 9 10 10 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100033 28 11 5 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5500-20400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (27800-34800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............39 41 43 46 49 51 52 52 53 53 53 52  
RH..............73 67 65 60 54 52 52 54 54 57 59 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 9 11 12 13 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 16 18 19 20 21 21 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 14 15 17 17 17 17 18 20 20 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 11 14 20 28 29 29 29 31 34 35 28  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...WILLI KOSTIUK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613760.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WILLI.KOSTIUK@CO.KOOCHICHING.MN.US  
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