404  
FNUS73 KDLH 152222  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STAND LAKE ROAD FIRE...NWS/SLCEMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
522 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
STRONG AND GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 30 MPH WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING. GUSTS WILL FALL  
BELOW 20 MPH BY 10 PM. RH WILL START AROUND 18 PERCENT AND SLOWLY  
RECOVER TO AROUND 61 PERCENT TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE  
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SITE SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL START  
OUT WESTERLY AND TURN NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY  
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS WARM WITH A HIGH AROUND 69  
DEGREES. RH WILL BE DRY DROPPING TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT DURING THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 17 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (237000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
TO FAIR (3400-16700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 76 73 65 61 59 57 56 54 52 50 50  
RH..............18 19 22 29 33 36 39 43 46 50 54 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 10 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 32 25 22 16 13 12 12 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.2 3.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 24 17 15 14 13 13 12 9 9 9 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000237 68 17 8 7 5 5 5 3 4 4 4  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 30 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (31600  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING  
TO EXCELLENT (64100-91800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (117500-156300  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (96100 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 50 54 57 62 64 64 65 67 68 68 68  
RH..............61 61 55 49 41 37 35 33 30 29 29 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 8 10 12 15 16 16 16 15 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 16 20 22 23 25 25 23 23 21 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 2.0 3.2 4.2 5.1 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.3 5.6 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 18 23 25 28 30 29 29 28 24 22  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 9 32 64 92 121 150 154 156 151 118 96  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO  
8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO  
14 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (53400-71600 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600-9300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 65 61 54 50 48 46 45 45 43 43 42  
RH..............28 29 33 47 56 58 60 60 60 65 65 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 9 6 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 13 11 8 8 8 11 13 14 16 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.1 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N NE NE E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 12 14 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100072 53 9 6 5 4 4 4 4 6 7 8  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN HUYCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613768.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV  
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