131  
FNUS73 KDLH 152249  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEWART TRAIL (LAKE CO)...SLCEMA/EMET  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
549 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN WEST-SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING.  
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL  
GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING. GUSTS WILL FALL BELOW 20 MPH BY 10  
PM. RH RECOVERY WILL BE MODEST OVERNIGHT AND RISE TO AROUND 60  
PERCENT. SATURDAY WILL SEE A COOL FRONT PASS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER  
THE SITE DURING THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL  
START OUT FROM THE WEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH  
AND WILL TURN NORTHWEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
COOLER WITH A HIGH AROUND 70 DEGREES. MINIMUM RH WILL BE BETWEEN  
25 AND 30 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33800-42200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
TO FAIR (4500-14400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 78 74 67 64 61 59 57 56 54 53 52  
RH..............20 21 25 30 33 35 40 45 47 50 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 11 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.27 29 23 22 15 12 12 12 11 11 11 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 23 20 16 15 15 15 14 12 10 13 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100042 34 14 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7600-20900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD (34900-53300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60400 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR TO  
GOOD (26800-35900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 52 55 57 60 62 64 65 66 67 67 68  
RH..............59 56 53 51 46 43 38 35 33 32 32 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 11 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 18 19 21 21 21 21 20 18 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 17 20 21 23 24 24 22 21 18 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 10 21 35 45 41 53 60 36 36 32 27  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...HOLLY ALLEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613746.1/DLH  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WARREN.LAPLANTE@CO.LAKE.MN.US,RICK.HOGENSON@CO.LAKE.MN.US,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV  
 
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