076  
FNUS73 KDLH 160046  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT RD BABBITT FIRE...SLCEMA/EMET  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
746 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
STRONG WEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS  
WILL DROP BELOW 20 MPH BY 10 PM. MODEST RECOVERY IS EXPECTED  
OVERNIGHT WITH MAX RH VALUES AROUND 61 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL  
ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE SITE SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL  
START FROM THE WEST AT 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO 25 MPH FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS  
TURN NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S AND AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL  
BOTTOM OUT AROUND 33 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 27  
MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3300-16600 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 63 61 59 56 54 52 51 50 50  
RH..............23 30 32 36 43 46 52 59 61 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 11 9 6 5 5 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.27 22 20 14 13 12 11 11 11 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 12 12 12 9 8 8 9 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100017 7 5 5 5 4 3 4 4 4  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5700-13300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (84000-112800 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 51 52 54 55 57 57 58 59 59 61 59  
RH..............58 56 54 50 49 43 42 39 37 36 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 20 22 23 23 23 23 22 21 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.1 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 20 23 25 26 26 25 25 23 22 21  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 13 44 69 91 106 108 106 113 102 95 84  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8  
TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (70300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(3500-10400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 57 54 50 48 45 44 43 41 40 39 38  
RH..............34 35 41 50 56 63 62 62 67 70 73 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 9 6 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 13 11 7 7 6 7 8 9 12 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 3.7 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N NE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 12 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/100070 48 10 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...H ALLEN-EMET  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613748.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV  
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