155
FNUS73 KDLH 051905
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
205 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JUNE 05.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
WHILE THERE IS A 10% CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER IN THE
FIRE AREA THROUGH 1900 CT THIS EVENING, NO RAINFALL IS LARGELY
FORECAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING
BECOME LIGHT AT OR UNDER 5 MPH SATURDAY EVEN AS MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPS DOWN TO ABOUT 30% SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE DRY RHS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY EXPECTED, BUT A FUTURE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR
THOSE DRY CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED
OUT IN THE FUTURE. EXPECT CALM WINDS SATURDAY EVENING TO SHIFT
SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE IN SPEED TOWARDS 8-10 MPH SATURDAY
LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS,
HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER-80S AND DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITY AGAIN
AROUND 29% SUNDAY AFTERNOON PROMPTED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WETTING RAINFALL IS NEXT EXPECTED
AT THE FIRE SITE MONDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (62900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(1900 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 76 72 68 65 62 60 58 55 54 53 52
RH..............42 46 53 61 68 75 78 83 90 90 89 96
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 11 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 2.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/100063 24 7 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1400-19200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (22000-41600 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 62 73 78 82 83
RH..............93 75 49 40 33 31
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 NW 4 NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 9 9 8
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1300 3800 4800 5600 5900
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 N 6 NW 10 NW 9 NW 7 NW 5
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 7 34 39 34 23
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 7
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2500-20600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 82 79 72 67 64 62 60 58 57 56 55
RH..............31 34 42 51 61 67 72 75 77 77 80 83
20 FT WIND DIR..N N E SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 8 12 12 12 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 3.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N E E SE SE S S SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9
SDSPL KT-FT/100021 12 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4800-16300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (61000-77800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 60 65 71 77 80 81 82 84 85 85 85
RH..............80 75 65 53 43 39 38 35 32 29 30 33
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 15 16 18 19 19 20 21 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 15 16 17 17 17 18 18 18 17
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 16 26 36 48 60 73 76 78 78 61
FORECASTER...NATHAN
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614806.10/DLH
.DELDT 06/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV,JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV
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