977
FXUS63 KDLH 082008
AFDDLH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
308 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A MAINLY DRY AND WARMING PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
- DANGEROUS HEAT IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN BACK INTO
THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
MANITOWISH WATERS TO HAYWARD TO HINCKLEY LINE. CLOUD COVER
THROUGH THE DAY HAS LIMITED INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN AND NO STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE
ACTIVITY EXITS THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL
DOES REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PRICE COUNTY INTO THIS EVENING WITH
PWATS IN EXCESS OF 1.7" IN PLACE PER LATEST SPC RAP ANALYSIS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHWESTERLY ON
FRIDAY WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER
MIDWEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING
CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ALONG THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND ARROWHEAD. HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND,
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WITH
SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE AROUND HIGH PRESSURE
IN THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILL PUMP WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S SATURDAY
BEFORE LOW 90S ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. INCREASING
DEWPOINTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WHICH WILL LEAD TO HOT
AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH APPARENT TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO
THE LOWER TO MID-90S. THESE CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO AN INCREASED
RISK OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS AND HEAT HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST ON TUESDAY AND
WILL BRING LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. COOLER AIR WILL ALSO ARRIVE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
FOR WEDNESDAY AS HIGHS FALL BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CEILINGS ARE SEEN AROUND THE NORTHLAND
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS
THE REGION. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND NON-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONT
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. HEADING INTO TONIGHT, FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
AFFECT ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT FOR INL. VSBYS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
TO IFR OR LOWER AT DLH, HIB, AND HYR WITH MVFR CEILINGS AT BRD.
IFR STRATUS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT HYR. CONDITIONS WILL THEN
RAPIDLY IMPROVE TO VFR AFTER DAYBREAK.
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE DENSE FOG THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. FOG HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG THE NORTH
SHORE PER WEBCAMS AND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
LIFTING AFTER SUNRISE THURSDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 10
KNOTS THROUGH SATURDAY.
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
PARTS OF INTERIOR NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY
PRICE COUNTY AND ADJACENT AREAS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO
0.10-0.15" WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. RH VALUES ARE STILL FORECAST TO VARY WIDELY
ACROSS THE REGION, WITH READINGS OF 30-45% ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE IRON RANGE INTO THE ARROWHEAD WITH VALUES ABOVE 50%
ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
A DRY AND WARMING PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO SETUP FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND OUTSIDE OF VERY LOW SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN FAR NORTHERN AREAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 80S THURSDAY- SATURDAY
WITH 90S IN THE MIX BY SUNDAY. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE DRIEST
DAY IN TERMS OF RH WITH VALUES OF 25-35% ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
IRON RANGE INTO THE ARROWHEAD WITH VALUES OF 35 TO 45%
ELSEWHERE. INCREASING HUMIDITY HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND WILL
KEEP MINIMUM VALUES AT AROUND 35% OR ABOVE. WINDS WILL REMAIN
UNDER 15 MPH INTO SATURDAY WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BY
SUNDAY.
SEE THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT FOR A MORE THOROUGH
BREAKDOWN OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR LSZ121-140>148-
150.
DISCUSSION...BJH
AVIATION...BJH
MARINE...BJH
FIRE WEATHER...BJH
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