787  
FNUS73 KDLH 132009  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
309 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 CDT ON JULY 13.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT.  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH  
TONIGHT, REACHING PEAK WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE  
2000. AFTER 2000, THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION BEGINS TO DEVELOP. MIN  
RH THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE 20 PERCENT WITH RECORD  
BREAKING HIGH TEMPS REMAINING AROUND 100 DEGREES.  
 
A COLD FRONT IS VERY LIKELY TO PASS THROUGH DRY ON TUESDAY  
MORNING, WHICH WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TO  
NORTHWEST AT 0900-1000. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER COMPARED TO  
TODAY, GUSTING TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, A RED FLAG  
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON TUESDAY FOR CRITICALLY DRY MIN RH DROPPING  
TO 23%. THERE IS A 5-10% CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY MORNING INTO  
THE EARLY AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING IS  
VERY LOW.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH,  
GUSTING TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (104300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............100 100 99  
RH..............22 20 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 27 28  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 4.8 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000105 106 104  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (92300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(5600 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR PC MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............98 96 91 85 81 79 78 77 76 74 73 73  
RH..............27 28 36 43 51 58 60 64 66 69 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 10 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 21 21 19 20 19 19 19 18 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 18 16 14 14 15 14 15 14 14 13 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/100092 27 11 7 7 8 6 7 6 6 6 6  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5100-20500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (65200-72500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR CLR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 75 78 81 87 90 92 95 95 96 97 95  
RH..............73 69 64 58 46 42 36 32 28 25 24 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 14 13 14 14 14 15 16 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.2 4.1 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 10 12 12 14 15 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 10 15 21 26 29 41 47 63 71 73 65  
 

 
FORECASTER...WOODY  
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617308.0/DLH  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV,PHILLIP.MANUEL@NOAA.GOV  
 
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