053
FNUS73 KDLH 132113
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER ISLAND WILDFIRE...SLC SHERIFF/EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
413 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON JULY 13.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH
TONIGHT, REACHING PEAK WIND GUSTS TO 28 MPH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
2000. AFTER 2000, THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION BEGINS TO DEVELOP. MIN
RH THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE 24 PERCENT WITH RECORD
BREAKING HIGH TEMPS REMAINING AROUND 100 DEGREES.
A COLD FRONT IS VERY LIKELY TO PASS THROUGH DRY ON TUESDAY
MORNING, WHICH WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHWEST AT 0900-1000. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER COMPARED TO
TODAY, GUSTING TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON TUESDAY FOR CRITICALLY DRY MIN RH DROPPING
TO 26%. THERE IS A 5-10% CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY MORNING INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING IS
VERY LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (93400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............98
RH..............27
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND SPD..11
20 FT WIND GUST.23
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W
TRANSP WIND SPD.25
SDSPL KT-FT/100093
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (82100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO
FAIR (5100-25000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............97 95 89 84 79 78 76 75 75 73 72 72
RH..............29 30 38 46 56 60 66 69 69 71 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 20 19 20 19 19 18 18 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 17 16 14 14 15 14 15 14 14 13 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100082 25 10 6 7 8 6 7 6 6 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5100-23600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55200-73500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............72 73 77 80 86 90 91 94 95 95 96 95
RH..............73 73 67 60 48 42 40 35 33 30 27 26
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 13 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 15
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 7 15 19 24 31 39 46 55 65 74 66
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...JOSH BRINKMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617315.0/DLH
.DELDT 07/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JOHNSOND@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV
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