913
FNUS73 KDLH 132248
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR JULY LIGHTNING EVENT...MNICS TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
548 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JULY 13.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS
EVENING, WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2200. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE GUSTING AS HIGH AS 27 MPH BEFORE THE NOCTURNAL
INVERSION STARTS TO DEVELOP AT 2000 THIS EVENING. WEST-SOUTHWEST
WINDS REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT, WITH RH RECOVERY TO 73%.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH ON TUESDAY, WHICH WILL BE
BRINGING A WIND SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST. TIMING FOR THIS WIND
SHIFT REMAINS MOST LIKELY BETWEEN 0800-0900 ON TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
COLD FRONT WILL MOST LIKELY PASS THROUGH DRY, WITH VERY LOW
CONFIDENCE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT (5-10% CHANCE). WINDS TOMORROW WILL
TREND LIGHTER COMPARED TO TODAY, WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER, A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO CRITICALLY
DRY MIN RH TO 24 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (93600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(4700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............96 93 91 84 80 79 78 77 76 74 73 73
RH..............28 31 34 48 56 58 62 67 66 71 71 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.26 27 20 20 20 20 19 19 18 18 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 20 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100094 34 9 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4100-17600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD (47300 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............72 77 86 91 93 94
RH..............73 64 45 36 30 24
20 FT WIND......W 3 NW 3 NW 3 N 5 N 6 NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 11 12 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 2500 3700 4600 4600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 NW 10 NW 8 NW 9 NW 12 NW 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 13 18 30 46 50
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (20300-37900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING
TO POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0
TEMP............92 79 71 65
RH..............24 38 49 58
20 FT WIND......NW 6G15 NW 3G13 NW 2G11 N 1G8
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 N 9 N 9 N 9
SDSPL KT-FT/100038 4 4 4
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617211.8/DLH
.DELDT 07/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV,TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV
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