100  
FNUS73 KDLH 132254  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SIOUX FIRE EVENING SPOT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
554 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON JULY 13.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS  
EVENING, WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2200. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS WILL BE GUSTING AS HIGH AS 27 MPH BEFORE THE NOCTURNAL  
INVERSION STARTS TO DEVELOP AT 2000 THIS EVENING. WEST-SOUTHWEST  
WINDS REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD  
FRONT, WITH RH RECOVERY TO 73%.  
 
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH ON TUESDAY, WHICH WILL  
BE BRINGING A WIND SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST. TIMING FOR THIS  
WIND SHIFT IS MOST LIKELY AROUND 0900 ON TUESDAY MORNING. THIS  
COLD FRONT WILL MOST LIKELY PASS THROUGH DRY, WITH VERY LOW  
CONFIDENCE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT (5-10% CHANCE). WINDS TOMORROW WILL  
TREND LIGHTER COMPARED TO TODAY, WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. A RED FLAG  
WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO CRITICALLY DRY MIN  
RH TO 24 PERCENT. DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY WITH  
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING A TREND OF EASING WINDS.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE EVENING, EASING UNDER 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (4900  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............93 90 83 80 79 78 77 76 74 73 73  
RH..............32 35 48 54 58 62 67 66 69 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 21 20 19 19 19 18 18 18 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 15 14 15 14 15 15 14 14 13 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100049 10 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 5 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE LATE IN THE  
MORNING. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN AREAS OF SMOKE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4800-20500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48900-63700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............72 74 78 80 86 89 91 94 94 94 95 94  
RH..............73 69 62 58 46 41 38 32 30 28 25 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.2 5.3 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 10 12 12 13 14 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 14 18 21 26 35 44 49 57 64 56  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22400-39800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING  
TO POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............93 90 85 78 74 72 71 69 68 64 64 63  
RH..............24 26 31 40 46 48 49 53 55 60 60 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 11 11 11 11 9 8 8 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N NW N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100040 22 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1900-17400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (21000-37600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 64 68 73 78 81 83 85 86 86 85 85  
RH..............67 67 61 51 42 37 32 29 27 27 28 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.4 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 4 7 10 17 29 37 38 35 30 21  
 
 
FORECASTER...WOODY  
REQUESTED BY...MNCC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617323.0/DLH  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MNMNCC_OPERATIONS@FIRENET.GOV  
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