450  
FXUS63 KDLH 050516  
AFDDLH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
1216 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST  
THURSDAY MIDDAY.  
 
- NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THURSDAY-FRIDAY.  
 
- A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026  
 
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS BRINGING A CLASSIC AUGUST FALL TEASER TODAY,  
WITH BREEZY WINDS, A BROKEN ALTOCUMULUS CLOUD DECK, AND DEWPOINTS IN  
THE 50S. EVEN LOWER DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY MORNING, WHICH WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR A RELATIVELY CHILLY  
NIGHT TONIGHT. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S FOR MOST, EXCEPT  
RIGHT ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR.  
 
RINSE AND REPEAT TOMORROW WITH A WESTERLY BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON,  
LOWER DEWPOINTS, AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S.  
 
A LITTLE WIGGLE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THURSDAY SHOULD ALLOW FOR  
SOME MOISTURE AND WARMTH ADVECTION BACK INTO THE AREA, WITH  
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S AND TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE  
80S. THAT IMPULSE COULD ALSO LEAD TO SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
WE EXPECT TO STAY UNDER BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING INTO NEXT WEEK  
WHICH WILL KEEP US ON THE SLIGHTLY COOLER SIDE. ANY UPPER LEVEL  
SHORTWAVES THAT MOVE THROUGH COULD BRING SOME PASSING PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE TAF PERIOD. FOG IS  
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, THOUGH THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR FOG IS AT  
HIB, WHICH HAS A TEMPO FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. DIURNAL  
CUMULUS IS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH CLOUD BASES AROUND  
7 KFT, AND WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST UP TO 15  
KTS.  
 

 
   
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
 
 
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026  
 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME  
AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHWEST  
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY WITH SOME GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS POSSIBLE -  
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED  
UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA  
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026  
 
DRIER WEATHER CONTINUES FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW. WEDNESDAY, DEWPOINTS  
IN THE 40S WILL MAKE FOR A NOTICEABLY DRY DAY WITH AFTERNOON RH  
FALLING TO AROUND 30%. EXPECT BREEZY AFTERNOON CONDITIONS WITH WEST  
WINDS GUSTING 15-20MPH. A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE RETURNS THU-FRI BUT  
AFTERNOON RH MAY STILL FALL INTO THE 35-40% RANGE. STRONG SOUTHWEST  
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY, SUSTAINED 10-15MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25MPH. THERE COULD BE SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, POSSIBLY CONTINUING THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND.  
 
SEE THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT FOR A MORE THOROUGH  
BREAKDOWN OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  
 

 
   
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MN...NONE.  
WI...NONE.  
MARINE...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...LEVENS  
AVIATION...KML  
MARINE...LEVENS  
FIRE WEATHER...LEVENS  
 
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