796
FNUS73 KDLH 060113
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
813 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS DEVELOPING THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
AT 4-6 MPH, WITH GUSTS DROPPING OFF AROUND TO SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET AS A SURFACE INVERSION BEGINS TO SET UP UNDER SCATTERED MID
TO HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS. RH RECOVERY TO 75-80 PERCENT TONIGHT WITH A
LOW TEMPERATURE AROUND 57 DEGREES.
SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME BREEZIER ON THURSDAY, WITH GUSTS PICKING UP
AGAIN WITH DAYTIME MIXING STARTING AROUND 0800-0900 CDT. EXPECT
WINDS AROUND 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
20-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON TO MID-EVENING. EXPECT A HIGH
TEMPERATURE AROUND 82 DEGREES IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RH
DIPPING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT DESPITE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-50S
MOVING IN DUE TO DEEPER AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS TO 6000-7200 FT.
CAN'T RULE OUT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE FOR A STRAY SHOWER IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ON THURSDAY, BUT ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE TO 30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING AND
50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FRIDAY
MORNING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS GENERALLY AROUND 0.10" OR LESS
EXPECTED. RH RECOVERS TO ABOVE 90 PERCENT THURSDAY NIGHT.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR PC MC MC MC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 67 64 61 61 61 61 60 60 59
RH..............50 56 64 72 71 71 70 72 74 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SW S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 25 MPH IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 29
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5000-15200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (134200-172500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR CLR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0
TEMP............58 60 63 67 72 75 77 80 81 81 82 81
RH..............77 79 78 69 59 54 51 46 44 44 43 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 16 19 19 20 20 21 22 23 23 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.7 3.5 5.4 6.9 7.2 6.9 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 20 18 21 23 26 29 28 28 28
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 9 15 28 31 49 73 129 173 172 170 135
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(3500-8700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR PC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............80 78 74 71 70 68 67 66 65 64 62 62
RH..............47 50 57 64 65 68 70 73 75 80 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 19 19 18 18 18 19 16 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 17 14 13 13 14 14 15 9 9 10 9
SDSPL KT-FT/100066 31 9 5 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING AROUND 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO
16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3500-16400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (77300-83200 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC CLR MCR PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............61 60 63 66 68 70 73 74 75 76 75 75
RH..............90 96 95 89 81 73 65 59 56 55 54 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 15 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.7 5.9 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW NW NW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 9 9 12 13 13 14 15 16 16 16
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 8 12 16 25 35 42 54 68 81 83 78
FORECASTER...CORY
REQUESTED BY...KELLEY HARKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619048.0/DLH
.DELDT 08/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KELLEY.HARKINS@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page