829
FNUS53 KDTX 122027
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
327 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2024
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY BEFORE RAIN MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THIS
WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-130915-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
327 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-34.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1940-2440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (429).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
1 AM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-52.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1180-1680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (257).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
MIZ049-054-055-062-130915-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
327 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1890-2390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (477).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
AFTER 1 AM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1340-1840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (446).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-130915-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
327 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-34.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1730-2230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (381).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
UNTIL 1 AM, THEN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-54.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1220-1720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (361).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
TF
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