940
FNUS53 KDTX 130857
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
357 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS DRY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING
BEFORE RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TURNING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THURSDAY EVENING. PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 20-30
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY. MINIMUM RHS TREND UPWARD DUE
TO THE INFLUX OF MOISTURE FROM THE LOW WHILE TEMPERATURES HOVER NEAR
AVERAGE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-132115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
357 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1 PM, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2180-2680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (461).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 1 AM, THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 4 PM, THEN
RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-81 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (264).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
MIZ049-054-055-062-132115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
357 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1 PM, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2050-2550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (506).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AFTER 1 AM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (35).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 4 PM, THEN
RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1260-1760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (486).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-132115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
357 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 1 PM, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1780-2280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (437).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 1 AM, THEN RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 4 AM, THEN
RAIN. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1 PM, THEN
RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1130-1630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (351).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
KGK
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