817  
FNUS73 KDTX 161623  
FWSDTX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OPERATION ROCKY...MICHIGAN WING CIVIL AIR PATROL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
1123 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EST ON JANUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
AFTERNOON SNOW SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF BY 1800 EST,  
BUT CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS AROUND 15 MPH GUSTING  
20-25 MPH LATE IN THE DAY WILL DIMINISH AOB 15 MPH TONIGHT.  
 
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....POOR (MIN...70).  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)..........98 95 93 90 90 90 85 85 85 85 85 80  
WEATHER COV......SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.....SN SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TEMP.............32 32 32 31 30 29 28 28 28 28 27 27  
RH...............87 87 89 88 92 93 94 91 91 92 90 85  
MIX HGT (KFT)....0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD..21 22 22 21 20 17 16 16 15 14 15 17  
CHC OF PCPN (%)..20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
SMOKE DISPER......25 25 23 23 21 20 19 18 16 15 20 29  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-68 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 29 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....EXCELLENT (MAX...1161).  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%)..........82 63 47 38 47 51  
WEATHER COV......S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE NONE  
TEMP.............27 24 26 24 23 21  
RH...............84 89 73 68 65 68  
MIX HGT (KFT)....800 1200 2200 3300 3900 3800  
TRANSP WIND DIR..W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD..17 16 23 26 29 28  
CHC OF PCPN (%)..20 20 20 20 10 10  
SMOKE DISPER......28 30 54 87 115 108  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 10 ABOVE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....FAIR (MIN...221).  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%)..........46 36 43 55  
WEATHER COV......  
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP.............19 16 14 13  
RH...............69 71 74 78  
MIX HGT (KFT)....2800 1700 1400 1500  
MIXNG WIND......W 24 W 23 SW 23 W 23  
CHC OF PCPN (%)..10 10 10 10  
SMOKE DISPER......73 56 47 41  
 
 
FORECASTER...FREITAG  
REQUESTED BY...ROBBIE DEYOUNG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR LAND  
.TAG 2528884.0/DTX  
.DELDT 01/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BELLMARKED@HOTMAIL.COM,729043@MIWG.CAP.GOV  
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