755  
FXUS66 KEKA 110837  
AFDEKA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA  
137 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
INTERIOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS  
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS THE  
EASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF MORE RAIN POSSIBLE ON  
SUNDAY. DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER TREND RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
THE SLOW-MOVING CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE  
CONTINUE TO SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN TODAY. GENERALLY  
DRY WEATHER TODAY, EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND FEW THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY EVENING  
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA.  
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE VERY SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY. SOME  
ENHANCED WEST-NORTHWEST WIND ALONG THE SHORE AND CHANNELED ALONG  
THE EEL RIVER VALLEY TODAY, DAYTIME WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY GENTLE  
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.  
 
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY, AREAS OF FOG AND PATCHY DENSE FOG ARE  
ANTICIPATED ALONG THE SHELTER VALLEYS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND STRONG  
RADIATIONAL COOLING. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED TO BE  
GENERALLY IN THE 50'S.  
 
A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILDS IN DOWNSTREAM IN THE WAKE  
TROUGH ON FRIDAY, PROMOTING DRIER AIR MASS AND CLEARING SKIES.  
INLAND HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO START TO WARM ON FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS  
FORECASTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 70'S TO UPPER 80'S. ONSHORE FLOW  
WILL REMAIN THE COASTAL AREAS IN THE LOW TO MID 60'S. AREAS OF  
VALLEY FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY.  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED  
WITH FRIDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST. THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL  
SHIFT EASTWARD ON SATURDAY, WITH AN UPSTREAM H5 TROUGH APPROACHING  
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. CLUSTER ANALYSIS  
ARE NOT IN A GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE POSITIONS OF THIS TROUGH.  
MODELS CONTINUE SHOWING LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY, PRIMARILY  
IN DEL NORTE, HUMBOLDT AND PORTIONS OF TRINITY COUNTIES. THERE IS  
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE NORTH COAST AS WELL.  
 
MONDAY, HIGH PRESSURE BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE WEST COAST WITH  
850 MB TEMPERATURES WARMING. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, WITH INTERIOR VALLEYS REACHING OR EXCEEDING THE 90'S  
DEGREES ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE WARMING UP INTO THE UPPER 90'S THROUGH  
MID NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE WARMER LOCATIONS OF TRINITY, LAKE,  
INTERIOR MENDOCINO, AND INTERIOR HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. /ZVS  
 
 
   
AVIATION...(6Z TAFS)  
STRATUS REMAINED PERSISTENT AT THE COASTAL  
TERMINALS FOR MUCH OF WEDNESDAY, AND IS LIKELY TO REMAIN OVERNIGHT.  
IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, BUT BRIEF DROPS TO LIFR ARE  
POSSIBLE. INTERIOR VALLEYS, INCLUDING UKI, ARE OBSERVING MVFR  
CEILINGS, WHICH ALSO MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. LIFTING AND  
SCATTERING OF CEILINGS IS EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE. SKIES MAY CLEAR  
FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT STRATUS IS LIKELY TO RETURN  
AGAIN IN THE EVENING. WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT APART FROM  
AFTERNOON BREEZES OF 10 KTS OR LESS. JB  
 
 
   
MARINE  
NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE RETURNED AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS  
OF 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE IN THE OTHER WATERS. LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS  
AT OR AROUND 30 KTS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND CAPE MENDOCINO. NEARSHORE  
WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES FRIDAY, BEFORE  
WINDS EASE SATURDAY AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.  
NORTHERLIES RETURN AGAIN SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NBM IS SHOWING  
50-80% PROBABILITIES FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS BY MONDAY.  
 
SEAS ARE MOSTLY CHARACTERIZED BY BUILDING SHORT PERIOD WIND WAVES,  
WHICH WILL BE STEEP AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFTS. DESPITE LIGHTER  
WINDS, STEEP SEAS ARE FORECAST TO PROPAGATE TO THE NEARSHORE WATERS  
OF MENDOCINO, ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A  
LONG PERIOD NW SWELL FILLS IN FRIDAY, WHICH COMBINED WITH THE WIND  
WAVES OF 6-7 FT, RESULTS IN COMBINED SEAS OF 7-10 FT BY FRIDAY  
NIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO EASE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY AS WINDS  
EASE, BUT ANOTHER MID-PERIOD NW SWELL OF AROUND 8 FT IS FORECAST TO  
FILL IN SUNDAY, KEEPING SEAS ELEVATED. ALONG WITH BUILDING SHORT  
PERIOD WIND WAVES, COMBINED SEAS MAY EXCEED 10 FT. JB  
 
 
   
BEACH HAZARD  
A LONG PERIOD WEST-NORTHWEST SWELL WILL BUILD LATE  
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITH A SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS  
AROUND 3 TO 4 FEET AT 16 TO 17 SECONDS TONIGHT. THIS ENERGY SWELL  
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING A MODERATE RISK OF SNEAKER WAVES ,  
ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 3 AM TO 8 AM PDT ON FRIDAY. A BEACH HAZARD  
STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE MENDOCINO.  
STAY TUNED!. /ZVS  
 
 
   
EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
CA...  
NONE.  
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 11 AM PDT  
FRIDAY FOR PZZ455.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THURSDAY TO 11 PM PDT  
FRIDAY FOR PZZ470.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ475.  
 
 
 
 
 
NOTE: THE FULL FORECAST DISCUSSION IS NOW REGULARLY ISSUED BETWEEN  
10 AM/PM AND 1 PM/AM. ADDITIONAL UPDATES WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED.  
 
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HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/EKA/ZONEMAP.PNG  
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