741
FXUS64 KEWX 112330
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
630 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE MID SEPTEMBER AVERAGES.
- UNCERTAIN VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES.
SHORT TERM (THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER TEXAS TODAY AND TOMORROW
KEEPING WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST WITH MAINLY RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY SNEAK INTO THE
COASTAL PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS GULF MOISTURE MOVES INTO
THE AREA WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES AGAIN TOMORROW OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL ALLOW
FOR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 80S TO
LOW 90S OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ELSEWHERE. LOWS RANGE FROM THE
MID 60S TO LOW 70S.
LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
MID-LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER MOST OF TEXAS SATURDAY WITH THIS
RIDGE FLATTENING, BUT REMAINING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS, AS A
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ADDITIONAL WAVES PASS TO THE NORTH NEXT WEEK WITH POSSIBLY A
SHORTWAVE PASSING CLOSER TO THE AREA MID-WEEK. WHILE MAINLY RAIN-
FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE SEEN ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE OVER THE WEEKEND AND AGAIN TUESDAY TO THURSDAY,
THOUGH MOST MODELS KEEP RAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE WIND REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK AIDING IN CONTINUED SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
EACH DAY.
AVIATION (00Z FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH FEW-SCT
AFTERNOON CUMULUS. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT 09Z-15Z IN A REGION ROUGHLY BOUNDED BY ERV-5T9-DRT.
HREF INDICATES A 50-80% PROBABILITY OF MVFR CEILINGS IN THIS
REGION FRIDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 72 97 71 97 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 70 97 70 97 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 70 97 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 69 93 69 92 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 74 93 73 93 / 0 10 10 20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 70 96 70 95 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 70 95 68 95 / 0 10 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 70 98 68 97 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 70 96 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 73 96 71 96 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 74 98 71 98 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM...27
AVIATION...76
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