626
FXUS64 KEWX 150607
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
107 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
- LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS THURSDAY-SATURDAY BUT MOST
WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY.
SHORT TERM (THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ON MONDAY, WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE
REGION, BUT INFLUENCES FROM A WESTWARD MOVING 700MB INVERTED
TROUGH MAY SPARK A SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LARGE SCALE RIDGING SHOULD STILL
ACT TO SUPPRESS MUCH OF ANY CONVECTION FROM THIS TROUGH AND
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S. TUESDAY LOOKS
DRY FOR ALL LOCATIONS AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL.
EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID 90S ONCE AGAIN.
LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
BY MIDWEEK, A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE
ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. THERE SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH MID-
LEVEL LIFT AND INFLUENCE FROM THIS TROUGH FOR SOME SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO DEVELOP, ALBEIT RATHER SPARSELY, ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY-SATURDAY. WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND DECENT SURFACE
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON
DURING PEAK DAYTIME HEATING. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL FOR MID TO LATE SEPTEMBER, IN THE MID 90S. THERE IS STILL
NO SIGN OF OUR FIRST TRUE FALL COLD FRONT, SO FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, EXPECTED WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION (06Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
VFR FLYING CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HREF
HAS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT FOR MVFR CIGS AND MOISTURE PROFILES AGREE.
MAINTAINED FEW-SCT010-025 FOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND INTRODUCED
FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT. ISOLD SHRA MAY APPROACH THE I-35 SITES EARLY
MONDAY EVENING. HOWEVER, PROBS ARE TOO TO MENTION. S TO SE WINDS
PREVAIL WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS 7 TO 14 KTS LATE MORNING THROUGH
EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 71 94 71 95 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 69 94 69 95 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 68 94 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 68 91 69 91 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 73 93 72 93 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 70 93 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 68 93 67 93 / 0 0 0 10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 68 95 68 96 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 68 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 72 94 72 94 / 0 0 0 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 71 96 71 96 / 0 0 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM...MMM
AVIATION...04
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