479
FXUS62 KFFC 261146
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
646 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- ONE LAST SUPER COLD MORNING BEFORE THE WARM UP REALLY TAKES
OFF. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS MOST OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
- SHOWERS AND RAIN MOVE IN TONIGHT, LIKELY AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. OVERALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT, GENERALLY AROUND
HALF AN INCH. SOME SNOWFLAKES COULD MIX INTO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE MORNING HOURS, BUT NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. RAIN WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
FORECAST:
ANOTHER CHILLY START TO THE MORNING TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE AREA IN THE 20S. TODAY WILL BE THE WARMEST IN QUITE A BIT AS
MOISTURE SOLELY FILTERS BACK INTO THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S
AND 60S.
CLOUD COVER IS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA AS MOISTURE IS
DRAWN UP AROUND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN GOM AND LIFTED
ISENTROPICALLY UNDERNEATH A BROAD ZONAL JET. SHORTWAVE DIGGING
THROUGH THE POLAR JET INTO THE GREAT PLAINS MOVING QUICKLY TO THE
SOUTH WILL PROVIDE FOR ENHANCEMENT OF JET STREAK WHERE SOUTHEAST
WILL BE UNDER RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. SHOWERS SHOULD DEVELOP
INITIALLY ACROSS ARKLATEX AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING,
ARRIVING IN THE CWA AROUND MIDNIGHT. LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING HOURS. SHORTWAVE WILL
APPROACH THE AREA QUICKLY AND HELP PUSH RAIN TO THE SOUTH THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE GENERALLY AROUND
HALF AN INCH. A FEW SNOWFLAKES COULD MIX INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE MORNING HOURS, BUT NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
LUSK
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMBING TO BECOME CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR
JANUARY.
- A FEW SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA.
FORECAST:
WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OF A STALLING, AND EXTREMELY
POSITIVELY TILTED, TROUGH WILL BRING GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURE
TO SOMETHING A BIT CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR JANUARY IN GEORGIA. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S CLIMB TO THE LOW 50S TO NEAR 60 BY SUNDAY. DRY AIR WILL
MEAN DIURNALLY DRIVEN LOWS REMAIN BELOW FREEZING.
INCREASING MOISTURE FROM WEAK W/SW FLOW WILL BEGIN TO RAISE
DEWPOINTS AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. POPS BEGIN TO ALSO
INCREASE NEAR THE END OF THE SHORT-TERM IN NORTHWEST GA FOR LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS. AT THIS TIME, WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN LOW
WITH WETBULBS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT THE PEAKS OF MOUNTAINS.
UNCERTAINTY IN THE START TIME OF ANY POPS AFTER SUNDAY AFTERNOON
REMAINS HIGH GIVEN THE SLOW MOVING NATURE OF ANY SFC FEATURE THAT
FORMS AND SUPPORT FROM THE SHIFTING LARGER SCALE TROUGH. OVERALL
SHOULD BE MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL.
SM
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 AM EST SUN JAN 26 2025
VFR CIGS IN PLACE TO START TAF PERIOD. CIG DECK THAT IS 060-080 IS
JUST WEST OF METRO TAF SITES AND MAY IMPACT SITES A BIT EARLIER
THAN FORECAST IF THEY HOLD TOGETHER AFTER SUNRISE. OTHERWISE,
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM WEST AT 4-7 KTS. LOWER CIGS AND RAIN MOVE
IN TONIGHT. METRO TAF SITES SHOULD DROP TO MVFR SHORTLY AFTER 04Z
THEN IFR BY APPROX 08Z. SHRA WILL IMPACT SITES STARTING AROUND 04Z
AND CONTINUING TO END OF TAF PERIOD BEFORE COMING TO AN END.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TIMING AROUND CIGS TOMORROW MORNING, HIGH ALL OTHERS.
LUSK
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 55 37 51 33 / 0 80 50 0
ATLANTA 55 39 49 33 / 0 90 60 0
BLAIRSVILLE 49 33 47 28 / 0 70 30 0
CARTERSVILLE 52 36 49 30 / 0 90 30 0
COLUMBUS 59 41 52 37 / 0 80 80 10
GAINESVILLE 52 38 49 33 / 0 80 40 0
MACON 59 39 52 36 / 0 70 80 10
ROME 50 36 49 28 / 0 80 30 0
PEACHTREE CITY 56 39 49 33 / 0 90 70 0
VIDALIA 59 39 55 41 / 0 30 60 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...LUSK
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...LUSK
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