286  
FXUS62 KFFC 271545 AAA  
AFDFFC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
1045 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
   
..MORNING UPDATE
 
 
   
UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 1027 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
 
RAIN IS BEGINNING TO ABATE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA, ALTHOUGH AREAS  
OF MIST/DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG REMAIN. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF ACROSS  
CENTRAL GEORGIA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT  
PERIODS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES -- GENERALLY 1 TO 4 SM -- AND  
PATCHY FOG ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA DUE TO THE RAINFALL  
AND HUMID ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE.  
 
MID-LEVEL WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CURRENT 500 MB  
DISTUBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAIN SHIFTING OVER ALABAMA AND  
GEORGIA, WHILE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EVIDENT UPSTREAM OVER  
SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THIS SECOND DISTURBANCE WILL PASS OVER GEORGIA  
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE RESULT WILL BE A SHOT  
OF COLD AIR -- BUT JUST FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.  
 
MARTIN  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 318 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
- RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH  
THE MORNING HOURS INTO THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE  
BETWEEN A QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN A FEW  
ISOLATED LOCATIONS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW  
SNOWFLAKES COULD MIX INTO THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF NORTH  
GEORGIA THIS MORNING, BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  
 
- RAIN WILL COME TO AN END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AS  
A FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. AIR BEHIND  
THIS FRONT IS NOT PARTICULARLY COLD, SO WE WON'T BE PLUNGING  
BACK INTO THE ARCTIC AS WITH PREVIOUS SYSTEMS. CLEAR SKIES AND  
WARM TOMORROW.  
 
FORECAST:  
 
AS EXPECTED, RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA AS MOISTURE HAS BEEN  
LIFTED ISENTROPICALLY INTO AN AREA OF BROAD LIFT WITHIN THE RIGHT  
ENTRANCE REGION OF AN ENHANCED JET STREAK. A SHORTWAVE IS DIVING  
DOWN INTO THE CWA WITHIN THE POLAR JET THAT IS DRIVING THAT  
ENHANCEMENT, AND ALSO WILL PUSH THE FRONT INTO THE AREA LATER  
TODAY THAT WILL BRING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END. EXPECT RAIN TO  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON  
FOR MOST LOCATIONS. RAIN WILL COME TO AN END DURING THE AFTERNOON  
TO EVENING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS AFOREMENTIONED FRONT PUSHES  
THROUGH THE AREA. RAIN TOTALS SHOULD BE AROUND A QUARTER TO SOME  
ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHEN ALL IS  
SAID AND DONE. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE 40S AND  
50S THROUGH THE DAY AND WITH UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE BEING  
POSITIVELY TILTED, NO INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED, SO NO THUNDER IS  
EXPECTED. CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW SNOWFLAKES MIXING IN WITH RAIN IN  
THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA, BUT NO ACCUMULATIONS WILL  
OCCUR.  
 
RAIN COMES TO AN END TONIGHT AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALSO CLEAR  
UP, ALLOWING FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING, ESPECIALLY IN NORTH  
GEORGIA. THAT SAID, AIR MASS MOVING IN DOES NOT HAVE ARCTIC  
ORIGINS AND ISN'T VERY COLD, SO OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE  
UPPER 20S AND 30S. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO  
REBOUND PRETTY QUICKLY TOMORROW, WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.  
THIS WILL LIKELY BE THE BEGINNING OF A RAPID WARMING TREND ACROSS  
THE CWA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WHICH YOU CAN FIND OUT ABOUT  
BELOW.  
 
LUSK  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 318 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
 
- TEMPERATURES SLOWLY CLIMBING TO BECOME CLOSER TO NORMAL  
FOR JANUARY.  
 
- A FEW SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA.  
 
WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OF A STALLING, AND EXTREMELY  
POSITIVELY TILTED, TROUGH WILL BRING GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURE  
TO SOMETHING A BIT CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR JANUARY IN GEORGIA. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 40S CLIMB TO THE LOW 50S TO NEAR 60 BY SUNDAY. DRY AIR  
WILL MEAN DIURNALLY DRIVEN LOWS REMAIN BELOW FREEZING.  
 
INCREASING MOISTURE FROM WEAK W/SW FLOW WILL BEGIN TO RAISE  
DEWPOINTS AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. POPS BEGIN TO ALSO  
INCREASE NEAR THE END OF THE SHORT-TERM IN NORTHWEST GA FOR LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWERS. AT THIS TIME, WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN  
LOW WITH WETBULBS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT THE PEAKS OF  
MOUNTAINS. UNCERTAINTY IN THE START TIME OF ANY POPS AFTER SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON REMAINS HIGH GIVEN THE SLOW MOVING NATURE OF ANY SFC  
FEATURE THAT FORMS AND SUPPORT FROM THE SHIFTING LARGER SCALE  
TROUGH. OVERALL SHOULD BE MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL.  
 
SM  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 636 AM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
 
CIGS ARE BOUNCING A BIT AT METRO TAF SITES THIS MORNING, BUT  
EXPECTATION IS THESE WILL SETTLE IN AT IFR/LIFR RANGES WITHIN NEXT  
HOUR OR TWO. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON UNTIL APPROX 00Z. SHRA CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREA AND  
WILL FOR NEXT FEW HOURS, COMING TO END AROUND 16-18Z. VSBYS ARE IN  
2-4SM RANGE AT MANY SITES AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE THROUGH  
EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SW MOVING TO NW AT 4-8 KTS. CLEARING  
EXPECTED TONIGHT.  
 
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...  
HIGH ALL ELEMENTS.  
 
LUSK  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ATHENS 52 31 58 39 / 40 0 0 0  
ATLANTA 52 33 57 39 / 20 0 0 0  
BLAIRSVILLE 49 26 52 33 / 20 0 0 0  
CARTERSVILLE 51 28 55 36 / 20 0 0 0  
COLUMBUS 55 34 60 38 / 70 0 0 0  
GAINESVILLE 51 33 55 39 / 20 0 0 0  
MACON 52 33 61 38 / 70 10 0 0  
ROME 52 26 57 35 / 10 0 0 0  
PEACHTREE CITY 52 31 57 38 / 30 0 0 0  
VIDALIA 55 39 62 41 / 60 20 0 0  
 

 
   
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...LUSK  
LONG TERM....SM  
AVIATION...MARTIN  
 
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