712
FXUS62 KFFC 301846
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
146 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND CLOUD COVER TO THE REGION ON
FRIDAY.
- RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE ARE EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY EVENING.
PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THAT MOVED THROUGH NORTH GEORGIA THIS
MORNING HAVE CONCLUDED, AND QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THUS THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN IN THE IMMEDIATE TERM IS
THE TIMING, AMOUNTS AND INTENSITY FOR FRIDAY'S RAIN EVENT. A WARM
FRONT SHOULD LIFT THROUGH GEORGIA TONIGHT LEADING TO INCREASED
MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER. THIS WILL LEAVE THE REGION PRIMED FOR
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT TRAVERSES THE AREA. HREF GUIDANCE
HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY KEEPING THE RAINFALL CONFINED TO A NARROW BAND
OF LIFT IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. THUS THE RAIN SHOULD FALL
WITHIN A FAIRLY NARROW TIME WINDOW (6 HOURS OR LESS) FOR MOST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. RAIN CHANCES IN THE ATLANTA METRO WILL BE
HIGHEST BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
CENTRAL GEORGIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON A THIN BAND OF INSTABILITY MAY
EXIST JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THUS THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR
THUNDER (20%). THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR DO NOT LOOK
SUPPORTIVE OF A MEANINGFUL SEVERE WEATHER RISK AT THIS TIME. RAIN
TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT SHOULD BE MODEST (0.10 TO 0.50 INCHES), AND
RAIN SHOULDN'T LAST ALL DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD ON FRIDAY
(HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S), WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PUSH OF COLD ARE
EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
AT A GLANCE:
- SPRING HAS FINALLY ARRIVED.
- QUIET WITH NO WEATHER ANTICIPATED.
AFTER A MISERABLE STRETCH OF WINTER THAT INCLUDED TWO WINTER STORMS,
IT LOOKS LIKE A TASTE OF SPRING IS SET TO ARRIVE EARLY IN THE LONG
TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 70S AND POSSIBLY 80S FOR PARTS
OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. ON AVERAGE, WE ARE LOOKING AT ANYWHERE FROM 15-
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S MIRRORING THE SAME DIFFERENCE FROM
CLIMATOLOGY THAT THE HIGHS ARE SET TO ENJOY. IF YOU LIKE BEING
OUTSIDE, THEN THIS IS YOUR KIND OF FORECAST.
TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK THE NBM IS GIVING US SOME "PLACE
HOLDER" POPS; BUT NO MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHERN GA. THERE ISN'T A LOT OF REAL CONFIDENCE IN THOSE RAIN
CHANCES AS GIVEN HOW FAR AWAY THOSE DAYS COMBINED WITH OVERALL LOW
CHANCES BUT IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR RAIN YOU WON'T FIND IT UNTIL
AT THE VERY LEAST NEXT WEDNESDAY.
ENJOY THE NICE WEATHER!
VAUGHN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN IS THE ONSET TIMING FOR MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS (CLOUD BASES 500-1500 FT AGL) FRIDAY MORNING. THESE
CONDITIONS SHOULD BUILD IN FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN 08Z AND 16Z,
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE IN OCCURRENCE, BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE
ONSET TIMING IN THE TAFS. RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP AFTER
12Z WITH MOST IMPACTS FOR THE TAFS (INCLUDING KATL) OCCURRING
AFTER 17Z FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS IN THE 18 TO 28 MPH RANGE ARE
ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 15Z AND 22Z FRIDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE KATL TAF THROUGH 08Z FRIDAY.
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE ONSET TIMING FOR LOWER CEILINGS FRIDAY
MORNING, BUT HIGH CONFIDENCE IN OCCURRENCE.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN RAINFALL HOLDING OFF UNTIL AT LEAST 16Z
FRIDAY.
ALBRIGHT
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 45 68 43 66 / 0 90 60 0
ATLANTA 52 64 44 64 / 0 90 20 0
BLAIRSVILLE 45 58 38 61 / 10 100 20 0
CARTERSVILLE 52 64 40 64 / 20 90 20 0
COLUMBUS 52 71 44 68 / 0 90 40 0
GAINESVILLE 45 62 43 64 / 0 90 20 0
MACON 50 74 45 68 / 0 70 90 0
ROME 52 65 40 62 / 30 90 20 0
PEACHTREE CITY 52 66 42 65 / 0 90 20 0
VIDALIA 52 80 51 71 / 0 10 80 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...ALBRIGHT
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