161
FXUS62 KFFC 310539
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1239 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2025
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND CLOUD COVER TO THE REGION ON
FRIDAY.
- RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE ARE EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY EVENING.
PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THAT MOVED THROUGH NORTH GEORGIA THIS
MORNING HAVE CONCLUDED, AND QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THUS THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN IN THE IMMEDIATE TERM IS
THE TIMING, AMOUNTS AND INTENSITY FOR FRIDAY'S RAIN EVENT. A WARM
FRONT SHOULD LIFT THROUGH GEORGIA TONIGHT LEADING TO INCREASED
MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER. THIS WILL LEAVE THE REGION PRIMED FOR
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT TRAVERSES THE AREA. HREF GUIDANCE
HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY KEEPING THE RAINFALL CONFINED TO A NARROW BAND
OF LIFT IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. THUS THE RAIN SHOULD FALL
WITHIN A FAIRLY NARROW TIME WINDOW (6 HOURS OR LESS) FOR MOST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. RAIN CHANCES IN THE ATLANTA METRO WILL BE
HIGHEST BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
CENTRAL GEORGIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON A THIN BAND OF INSTABILITY MAY
EXIST JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THUS THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR
THUNDER (20%). THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR DO NOT LOOK
SUPPORTIVE OF A MEANINGFUL SEVERE WEATHER RISK AT THIS TIME. RAIN
TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT SHOULD BE MODEST (0.10 TO 0.50 INCHES), AND
RAIN SHOULDN'T LAST ALL DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD ON FRIDAY
(HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S), WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PUSH OF COLD ARE
EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
AT A GLANCE:
- SPRING HAS FINALLY ARRIVED.
- QUIET WITH NO WEATHER ANTICIPATED.
AFTER A MISERABLE STRETCH OF WINTER THAT INCLUDED TWO WINTER STORMS,
IT LOOKS LIKE A TASTE OF SPRING IS SET TO ARRIVE EARLY IN THE LONG
TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 70S AND POSSIBLY 80S FOR PARTS
OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. ON AVERAGE, WE ARE LOOKING AT ANYWHERE FROM 15-
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S MIRRORING THE SAME DIFFERENCE FROM
CLIMATOLOGY THAT THE HIGHS ARE SET TO ENJOY. IF YOU LIKE BEING
OUTSIDE, THEN THIS IS YOUR KIND OF FORECAST.
TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK THE NBM IS GIVING US SOME "PLACE
HOLDER" POPS; BUT NO MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHERN GA. THERE ISN'T A LOT OF REAL CONFIDENCE IN THOSE RAIN
CHANCES AS GIVEN HOW FAR AWAY THOSE DAYS COMBINED WITH OVERALL LOW
CHANCES BUT IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR RAIN YOU WON'T FIND IT UNTIL
AT THE VERY LEAST NEXT WEDNESDAY.
ENJOY THE NICE WEATHER!
VAUGHN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 AM EST FRI JAN 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 10-12Z WHEN IFR CIGS 600-800FT
WILL MOVE IN FOLLOWED BY RAIN WITH MVFR VSBYS (4-6SM) AROUND
17-20Z. INSUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR ANY TSRA. SFC WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM SSW TO W WITH THE RAIN MOVING IN WITH SPEEDS OF
10-12KTS WITH G20-22KTS, TAPERING OFF AROUND 00Z. CIGS SHOULD ALSO
GO BACK UP TO MVFR DURING THIS WIND SHIFT AT 17-20Z AS WELL, THEN
GO TO VFR AFTER 01Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON IFR AND PRECIP TIMING.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
SNELSON
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 43 66 42 66 / 50 0 0 0
ATLANTA 44 64 42 67 / 20 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 38 61 39 59 / 10 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 40 64 41 67 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 44 68 44 72 / 30 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 43 64 42 63 / 20 0 0 0
MACON 45 68 43 71 / 70 0 0 0
ROME 40 62 39 68 / 10 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 42 65 41 68 / 20 0 0 0
VIDALIA 51 71 46 74 / 90 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...SNELSON
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