560
FXUS62 KFFC 010559
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1259 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2025
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 0.20 AND 0.50 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 11 PM.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE IN GEORGIA SATURDAY.
THROUGH THIS EVENING:
RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN PASSING TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A LACK OF APPRECIABLE INSTABILITY WILL MAKE THIS A
BENEFICIAL AND UNEVENTFUL RAIN EVENT FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE 0.20 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH 7 PM. ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
IN NORTH GEORGIA BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE
TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WITH THIS SECOND
FEATURE SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT (< 0.10 INCHES).
THE LONE EXCEPTION THE THE BROAD OUTLOOK ABOVE MAY BE WEST CENTRAL
GEORGIA (SOUTH OF MACON AND COLUMBUS) WHERE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
THREAT WILL LINGER THROUGH AROUND 7 PM DUE TO MUCAPE VALUES BETWEEN
200 AND 600 J/KG. WHILE THUNDER IS POSSIBLE, THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER IS DIMINISHING. THE SPC TRIMMED CENTRAL GEORGIA OUT OF THE
MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 5) AREA WITH THE LATEST UPDATE TO THE DAY 1
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONDITIONS NOT EVOLVING IN A
FAVORABLE MANOR THUS FAR.
SATURDAY:
A SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL NOSE IT'S WAY
SOUTH INTO GEORGIA ON SATURDAY. THIS SHOULD COMBINE WITH ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT TO PRODUCE QUIET WEATHER AND MILD TEMPERATURES. SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUD COVER AND AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 60S CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE
FIRST DAY OF THE WEEKEND.
ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM EST FRI JAN 31 2025
AT A GLANCE:
- SPRING LIKE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
- QUIET WITH NO WEATHER ANTICIPATED.
TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 70S AND POSSIBLY 80S FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH THE LONG TERM. ON AVERAGE, WE ARE LOOKING AT
ANYWHERE FROM 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S AND THEN 50S TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK; MIRRORING THE SAME DIFFERENCE FROM CLIMATOLOGY
THAT THE HIGHS ARE SET TO ENJOY. AN EXCELLENT WAY TO KICK OF
FEBRUARY IF YOU LIKE NICE WEATHER AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.
CONFIDENCE IN POPS TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS ON THE LOW
SIDE. A MAJORITY OF THE MAJOR MODELS SLIDES A STATIONARY FRONT JUST
OFF TO THE NORTH. WITH THE TEMPS AS HIGH AS THEY WILL BE, A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CAN'T BE RULED OUT BUT THE CHANCES HAVE
CONTINUED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE.
VAUGHN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2025
SHOWERS ACROSS N GA CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AS DRY AIR
FILTERS INTO THE AREA. SOME PATCHY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WILL LINGER
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS, BUT IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT OTHER THAN SOME PATCHY GROUND
FOG PRIOR TO SUNRISE. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BUT REMAIN
GENERALLY OUT OF THE NW THROUGH THE DAY. A SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION
TO THE NE-E IS ANTICIPATED BY EVENING, BUT SPEEDS WILL BE VERY
LIGHT BY THAT TIME.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH FOR INITIAL CIGS AND TIMING OF WIND SHIFT TO NE,
HIGH FOR OTHER ELEMENTS.
SEC
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 41 65 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 41 66 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 39 58 39 68 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 41 66 41 73 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 43 70 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 41 63 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 40 70 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 39 66 39 71 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 39 68 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 45 74 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ALBRIGHT
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...SEC
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