447
FXUS62 KFFC 022340
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
740 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS ACTUALLY UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES
THAT WILL LIKELY BREAK ALL-TIME DAILY RECORDS.
WEDGE STILL HOLDING STRONG IN FAR NE COUNTIES, BUT OTHERWISE WARM
AND BREEZY TODAY WITH LESS SHOWERS AND STORMS THAN EXPECTED SO
FAR. ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS OBSERVED ARE IN UPSTATE SC AT THIS TIME.
AS NOTED, MAIN TALKING POINT ARE MAX TEMPS LIKELY BREAKING DAILY
ALL-TIME RECORDS THE NEXT 3 DAYS (THURSDAY, FRIDAY, SATURDAY) AND
AGAIN ON SUNDAY OVER EASTCENTRAL COUNTIES SOUTH AND EAST OF MACON.
AS FOR THURSDAY, MAX TEMPS SHOULD EXCEED 90 IN A FEW SPOTS IN
MIDDLE GA. ALREADY SAW SOME SPOTS REACH 90 THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
WAS A BIT ABOVE NBM GUIDANCE.
WHILE WE WILL NOT REACH ANY OFFICIAL HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA USING
THE HEAT INDEX, THE NWS HEATRISK PRODUCT THAT IS BASED ON MAX AND
MIN TEMPERATURE AND HOW IT COMPARES TO CLIMATOLOGY FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR IS INDICATING THAT SOME AREAS OF MIDDLE GA WILL BE IN THE
ORANGE OR MODERATE LEVEL (LEVEL 2 OUT OF 4) OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS
OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THOSE WHO ARE VULNERABLE TO HEAT OR OUTDOOR
WORKERS WITH HEALTH CONCERNS MAY BE AT RISK.
AS FOR PRECIP, EXPECTING EVEN LOWER CHANCE OF SHOWERS THAN WE HAD
TODAY OVER FAR NE GA TOMORROW. ANY RAIN THAT DOES FALL WILL BE LIGHT
WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN 0.05 INCH.
SNELSON
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025
VERY WARM TO RECORD BREAKING HEAT THROUGH SATURDAY:
HEAT WILL BE THE STORY THROUGH SATURDAY AS AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG
500 MB MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE EASTERN US,
EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG SURFACE-
850MB RIDGING WILL BE PARKED TO THE EAST OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC, WITH STOUT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PUMPING WARM AND
HUMID AIR ACROSS GEORGIA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOW 90S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THESE TEMPS ARE NEARLY 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL FOLLOW SUIT, ONLY DROPPING TO THE 60S EACH NIGHT. ALL
CLIMATE SITES COULD SEE RECORD BREAKING MAX AND MIN TEMPERATURES
BOTH DAYS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK:
AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY, A STRONG TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL US WILL
MOVE EAST AND START TO KICK OUT THE RIDGE. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY, BRINGING ALONG WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SHEAR IN
PLACE, BUT INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE A LIMITING FACTOR YET AGAIN.
SPC HAS A 15% SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR MOST OF GEORGIA ON
SUNDAY. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND SLOW MOVING NATURE OF
THE FRONT, LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO BECOME A CONCERN.
FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT, MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
CULVER
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 734 PM EDT WED APR 2 2025
VFR EXPECTED TO GIVE WAY AGAIN TO MVFR-IFR CIGS AFTER 09Z GIVEN
PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW. LOWEST CIGS EXPECTED AT KAHN, WHERE
PATCHY LIFR WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10-13Z -- ESPECIALLY
CONSIDERING AN ISOLATED TSRA PASSED OVER THE AIRFIELD THIS
EVENING. WINDS SWITCH FROM THE EAST TO WEST SIDE BETWEEN 15 TO 18Z
THURSDAY WITH GUSTS PICKING UP TO 18 TO 22KTS THROUGH THE AFTN.
CIGS EXPECTED TO LIFT TO VFR AFTER 18Z. AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA
CANNOT BE RULED OUT TOMORROW (MAINLY FOR KAHN) BUT CHANCE IS TOO
LOW TO MENTION IN TAF AT THIS TIME.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR IFR CIGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE REMAINING ELEMENTS.
07
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 64 86 65 89 / 30 10 0 10
ATLANTA 66 87 67 89 / 10 0 0 10
BLAIRSVILLE 59 80 62 84 / 30 20 10 20
CARTERSVILLE 64 89 64 91 / 10 0 0 10
COLUMBUS 65 89 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 64 84 66 87 / 20 10 10 10
MACON 65 89 64 90 / 20 0 0 10
ROME 63 88 65 90 / 10 0 0 10
PEACHTREE CITY 63 87 63 89 / 10 0 0 10
VIDALIA 67 91 67 91 / 20 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...07
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